OPAD Should I Buy
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0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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OPAD is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The tape is still decisively bearish (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5 with a worsening MACD), fundamentals are shrinking (2025/Q3 revenue -36% YoY with continued losses), and there is no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal to justify stepping in early. While it is near support (1.01) and technically oversold, that’s a bounce setup—not a high-confidence buy—and the next clear bullish confirmation would require reclaiming the pivot zone (1.25) first. Given the current trend and lack of catalysts, the better action is to avoid/exit rather than buy now.
Price/Trend: Bearish trend structure with moving averages stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling persistent downside pressure. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.0272 and negatively expanding, suggesting bearish momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing. RSI: RSI_6 at ~21.93 indicates the stock is stretched/oversold on a very short lookback, which can spark brief bounces, but oversold alone is not a reversal signal when MACD and MAs are bearish. Levels: Immediate support is S1 ~1.006 (price ~1.04 pre-market sitting just above it). If S1 fails, next support is S2 ~0.857. Overhead resistance: pivot ~1.247, then R1 ~1.487. For a durable trend change, OPAD would need to base above ~1.25 and start flipping short MAs upward. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
can produce a reflex bounce if support holds.
on 2026-02-24 after hours (EPS est. -0.
can be a downside catalyst if guidance/liquidity/run-rate disappoint.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $132.68M, down 36.23% YoY (clear contraction).
Profitability: Net income -$11.60M (still loss-making; deterioration vs prior year indicated). EPS -0.37, worse by ~24.49% YoY.
Margins: Gross margin ~8.54%, slightly lower (-0.93% YoY), implying no clear margin expansion to offset revenue decline.
Bottom line: The quarter shows shrinking scale and continued losses, which is not supportive for an immediate “buy now” call without a strong technical reversal signal.
Recent trend: Ratings skew mixed-to-improving. Keefe Bruyette (2025-11-06) kept Market Perform but raised PT to $1.75 from $1.15 (more constructive but still neutral). Alliance Global (2025-12-11) initiated Buy with a much higher $3.50 PT (bullish). Wall Street pros: Potential upside if OPAD successfully shifts to higher-margin, asset-light services and benefits from lower rates/housing normalization. Wall Street cons: The business remains tied to housing/financing conditions, recent results show sharp revenue contraction and ongoing losses, and the stock’s technical trend is still decisively bearish. Influential/Political trading: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
