Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the stock is in a clear downtrend (bearish moving-average stack + weakening MACD) and sentiment/flows are not supportive.
No Intellectia edge today: AI Stock Picker = no signal; SwingMax = no recent signal, so there’s no proprietary “must-buy” trigger to override the bearish setup.
Options activity is leaning defensive (put-heavy volume) and hedge funds are aggressively reducing exposure, which typically caps near-term upside.
With earnings on 2026-02-19 (After Hours) and estimates already being cut, risk/reward favors waiting rather than buying into weakness today.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.28 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI(6): 32.7 (near oversold). This can enable bounces, but by itself it’s not a reliable buy signal while trend/momentum remain bearish.
Levels to watch:
Resistance/pivot: 117.34 (needs reclaim to improve the setup), then 120.41.
Support: 114.27 (already being tested), then 112.38. A clean break below ~112–114 would keep sellers in control.
Pattern-based forward odds (similar candlesticks): 40% chance of -0.54% next day; +2.13% next week; +1.14% next month — mild bounce potential, but not a high-confidence edge given the current downtrend.
Volatility: 30D IV 57.18 vs historical vol 27.13; IV percentile 78.88 → options are pricing elevated event/uncertainty risk (consistent with upcoming earnings).
Liquidity/flow note: today’s option volume (63) is far below 5D/10D averages (~300+), so today’s signal is directionally bearish but based on lighter-than-usual participation.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
Potential technical bounce setup if price holds 112–114 support and reclaims 117.34 (pivot), helped by near-oversold RSI.
Earnings catalyst on 2026-02-19 could improve sentiment if management guides better-than-feared despite recent estimate cuts.
Long-term product catalyst still exists (the market continues to watch for progress on “Blue” commercialization), which is a key bull thesis if it materializes.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
plus MACD momentum worsening → sellers still control the tape.
Net income: $44.0M, -34.07% YoY (profit decline faster than revenue).
EPS: $0.92, -34.29% YoY.
Gross margin: 71.2%, down ~4.98% YoY (still high, but trending the wrong way).
Overall read: decelerating fundamentals and margin pressure into an earnings event is not the profile for an “impatient buy-the-dip” entry.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street trend: price targets have been cut and tone has become more cautious.
2026-01-27 Citi: PT cut $150 → $130, kept Neutral; cited weaker smartphone/PC units and higher component pricing ahead of earnings.
2025-11-07 Roth Capital: PT cut $220 → $194, kept Buy; noted Q3 revenue miss, outlook maintained but biased to the low end; still waiting for “Blue” adoption.
Wall Street pros:
High-margin business model and long-term upside tied to next-gen OLED materials (notably Blue) if adoption accelerates.
Congress trading (last 90 days): No data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast OLED stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OLED is 174.75 USD with a low forecast of 150 USD and a high forecast of 194 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast OLED stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OLED is 174.75 USD with a low forecast of 150 USD and a high forecast of 194 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 113.050
Low
150
Averages
174.75
High
194
Current: 113.050
Low
150
Averages
174.75
High
194
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
$150 -> $130
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$150 -> $130
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Universal Display to $130 from $150 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm reduced estimates ahead of the company's earnings report citing weaker smartphone and PC market units due to higher component pricing.
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$220 -> $194
2025-11-07
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$220 -> $194
2025-11-07
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Universal Display to $194 from $220 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported a Q3 revenue miss but management maintained its 2025 outlook with a bias toward the lower end of the sales range, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth reduced estimates and is still waiting for Blue as it resides in the hands of multiple Universal Display customers.
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