Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is breaking down hard (-9.19% today, additional weakness pre-market) with momentum indicators still deteriorating.
Nearest support (S1 ~3.305) is very close; with MACD worsening, the odds favor a support test/break before a durable bounce.
Options positioning is call-heavy and volatility is extremely elevated (speculative bullishness), but that does not override the current bearish tape.
Hedge funds have been buying aggressively (positive), and the lone analyst update is supportive, but near-term price action is risk-off.
Trend/momentum: Bearish short-term momentum. MACD histogram is below 0 (-0.0348) and negatively expanding, signaling selling pressure is strengthening.
RSI: RSI(6) = 36.3 (weak/near-oversold but not a clear reversal signal).
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest compression/indecision previously, but today’s sharp drop indicates the resolution is currently downward.
Key levels: Price 3.36 is hovering just above S1 (3.305). A break below S1 increases downside risk toward S2 (3.081). Upside recovery levels: pivot 3.668 first, then R1 4.031.
Quant pattern read-through: Similar-pattern stats imply only modest upside next week (+1.75%) but negative bias over the next month (-1.17%), aligning with weak momentum now.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment from positioning: Put/Call OI ratio 0.08 is extremely call-skewed (bullish/speculative positioning).
Activity: Very low absolute volume today (18 contracts) and 0 puts traded; the call-skew is strong but based on thin flow.
Volatility: IV (30d) 168.11 vs historical vol 60.89 shows options are priced for large swings; IV percentile 78.88 = elevated relative to its own history.
Interpretation: Options market is expecting/charging for big moves; the skew is bullish, but the tape today is bearish—this setup can stay volatile and punitive for late buyers.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Institutional flow: Hedge Funds are Buying; buying amount increased 1113.66% QoQ (strong external vote of confidence).
Analyst support: RBC Capital reiterated Outperform and raised price target (C$7 from C$6), providing a positive valuation anchor.
Operational/news: Appointment of a VP of Permitting & Compliance could improve execution and regulatory readiness (incrementally positive for project delivery).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Volatility risk: Extremely high implied volatility implies the market expects instability; this often coincides with continued whipsaws rather than clean trend reversals.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 4.41M, up +2638.51% YoY (very strong growth rate, but from a small base).
Profitability: Net income -150.28M (still deeply negative); EPS -0.8 (improved YoY per data, but remains a sizable loss).
Margins: Gross margin 32.82%, down -14.78% YoY (deterioration in quality of revenue/operating efficiency).
Overall read: Top-line growth is impressive, but the business is still loss-making with weakening gross margin—fundamentals don’t currently offset the bearish technical setup for an immediate buy.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: (2025-11-17) RBC Capital (Harrison Reynolds) raised PT to C$7 from C$6 and maintained Outperform.
Wall Street pros view (pros): Upward PT revision + Outperform suggests confidence in medium-term upside and project value.
Wall Street cons view (cons): Limited breadth of recent analyst data here; without multiple fresh upgrades and with current downside momentum, the market is not validating the bullish thesis right now.
Net take: Analysts lean positive, but today’s price/technical deterioration argues against buying immediately at current levels.
Wall Street analysts forecast ODV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ODV is 6.12 USD with a low forecast of 5.76 USD and a high forecast of 6.48 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ODV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ODV is 6.12 USD with a low forecast of 5.76 USD and a high forecast of 6.48 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.350
Low
5.76
Averages
6.12
High
6.48
Current: 3.350
Low
5.76
Averages
6.12
High
6.48
RBC Capital
Harrison Reynolds
Outperform
maintain
$6 -> $7
AI Analysis
2025-11-17
Reason
RBC Capital
Harrison Reynolds
Price Target
$6 -> $7
AI Analysis
2025-11-17
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Harrison Reynolds raised the firm's price target on Osisko Development to C$7 from C$6 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Stifel
Buy
maintain
$6 -> $8
2025-10-20
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$6 -> $8
2025-10-20
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel raised the firm's price target on Osisko Development to C$8 from C$6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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