Should I Buy NXT? NXT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nextpower Inc (NXT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

121.370

1 Day change

6.06%

52 Week Range

131.590

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Buy now: despite a red day (-2.38%), NXT still sits in a broader bullish trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with strong post-earnings fundamental momentum ("beat and raise" + backlog strength).
Wall Street is leaning decisively bullish (multiple Buy/Overweight reiterations and price-target raises up to $142), which typically supports dips being bought.
Key level check for an impatient entry: price (113.9) is below the pivot (116.32), so you’re buying a dip rather than chasing strength; nearest support is 105.4.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Primary trend: bullish — moving averages are stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), consistent with an uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.946 (still positive) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is cooling short-term rather than reversing decisively.
RSI (6): 57.6 (neutral-to-slightly bullish), not overbought; room for continuation if buyers step back in.
Levels: Pivot 116.32 (near-term reclaim level). Resistance 127.24 then 133.99. Support 105.4 then 98.65.
Pattern-based forward odds: modeled path suggests +1.53% next day, +4.46% next week, +7.39% next month (probabilistic tailwind, not a guarantee).

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest PCR 1.15): more puts than calls outstanding → mild defensive/hedged stance.
Flow (Volume PCR 0.45): call volume > put volume today → near-term trading flow is more bullish than the outstanding positioning.
Volatility: 30D IV 65.58 vs HV 61.67 → options are pricing slightly elevated forward volatility.
Activity: today’s option volume is ~18.4% of 30D average → not a "crowded" options day; sentiment read is moderate rather than extreme.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings catalyst: fiscal Q3 2026 was a clear beat with a "raise" narrative; multiple analysts cite "beat across the board" and conservative outlook.
- Demand visibility: commentary highlights book-to-bill > 1 and record backlog, with strength in the U.S. and Europe plus entry into new countries.
- Capital return: KeyBanc notes a $500M share buyback (supportive for dips).
- Sector tone: clean-energy peer strength (e.g., ENPH post-earnings surge) can lift sentiment across the group.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Institutional behavior: hedge funds are selling, with selling amount up 753.58% over the last quarter (a notable near-term headwind).
- Short-term price/level weakness: trading below pivot (116.32) indicates near-term control is not fully with buyers yet.
- Momentum cooling: MACD remains positive but is contracting, implying the uptrend may consolidate before the next leg higher.
- Some caution in outlook modeling: at least one note flagged a "light implied" Q4 (even if explained by pull-forward into Q3).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: fiscal 2026/Q3
Revenue: $909.35M, +33.85% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Net income: $131.24M, +13.84% YoY (profit growing, but slower than revenue).
EPS: $0.85, +7.59% YoY.
Gross margin: reported as up sharply YoY in the snapshot (margin expansion is a key bullish factor, though the absolute figure shown appears unusually high—directionally it still signals improvement in profitability).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Trend (late Jan 2026): broad-based upgrades/raises — Deutsche Bank (PT to 119), Barclays (115), UBS (140), JPMorgan (125), Baird (126), Wells Fargo (127), Roth (130), KeyBanc upgrade to Overweight (142).
Pros (bull case consensus): repeated "beat and raise," record backlog, book-to-bill > 1, tracker share leadership expanding into a broader solar/electrical hardware platform, and buyback support.
Cons (bear/base case on the Street): a couple of more cautious stances remain (BMO Market Perform 104; TD Cowen Hold 105), reflecting concerns around near-term cadence (pull-forward/Q4 implied softness) and normalization risks.
Influential / political trading check: no recent Congress trading data available; insider trading trend is neutral (no significant activity reported).

20 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NXT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXT is 105.33 USD with a low forecast of 76 USD and a high forecast of 125 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

15 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 114.440

Low

Averages

105.33

High

125

Current: 114.440

Low

Averages

105.33

High

125

Deutsche Bank

Buy

maintain

$109 -> $119

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Price Target

$109 -> $119

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

maintain

Buy

Reason

Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Nextpower to $119 from $109 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported another "beat and raise" quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Barclays

Christine Cho

Overweight

maintain

$108 -> $115

2026-01-29

Reason

Barclays

Christine Cho

Price Target

$108 -> $115

2026-01-29

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Barclays analyst Christine Cho raised the firm's price target on Nextpower to $115 from $108 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company reported a beat "across the board" in fiscal Q3 and its outlook looks conservative, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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NXT Should I Buy

NXT Should I Buy

Should You Buy Nextpower Inc (NXT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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