Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is breaking below near-term support while momentum is still deteriorating (MACD negative and expanding).
Oversold RSI (16.6) raises the odds of a short bounce, but without an Intellectia buy signal, the setup is lower-quality and can stay oversold longer.
Options positioning is extremely call-heavy, but that looks more like speculative positioning ahead of earnings than confirmation of a durable trend reversal.
With earnings on 2026-02-18 (after hours) and no supportive news flow, the near-term risk/reward is unfavorable for a “buy now” decision.
Volatility: Implied vol (30d) ~99.64 vs historical vol ~37.46 → options are pricing very large moves (elevated event/earnings risk).
IV trend: IV 5D avg (130.6) > current (99.6) → IV has been coming down recently, but still very high.
Liquidity/activity: Today’s option volume 1,341 vs 30D average is ~62% (not a “panic/mania” spike today).
Takeaway: Options market is positioned for upside more than downside, but the very high IV suggests traders expect a big move rather than confirming a steady bullish trend.
Near-term statistical drift is negative (similar-pattern analysis suggests weakness over the next week).
Elevated implied volatility (~100%) means the market expects large moves; downside can be sharp if earnings disappoint.
No supportive news in the last week to explain or halt the selloff.
Broader tape is risk-off today (S&P 500 -1.07%), which tends to pressure small-cap/high-volatility names.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $68.898M, +5.01% YoY (modest growth).
Profitability: Net income -$12.857M (down -13.70% YoY) and EPS -0.03 (down -25% YoY) → losses widened and per-share performance worsened.
Margins: Gross margin 84.85% (+2.18% YoY) → strong unit economics, but not yet translating into improved bottom-line results.
Positioning signal: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral (no notable conviction buying to offset the weak price action).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Street action provided: Citi (2025-11-10) kept Neutral and lowered price target to $2.20 from $2.40 after Q3.
Trend: Cautiously negative (PT cut while maintaining Neutral).
Wall Street “pros” view: Upside exists if product traction/monetization improves (PT still above current price).
Wall Street “cons” view: Execution/profitability remains a concern (losses/EPS deterioration), consistent with Neutral stance rather than a Buy upgrade.
Wall Street analysts forecast NXDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXDR is 2.2 USD with a low forecast of 2.2 USD and a high forecast of 2.2 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NXDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXDR is 2.2 USD with a low forecast of 2.2 USD and a high forecast of 2.2 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.700
Low
2.2
Averages
2.2
High
2.2
Current: 1.700
Low
2.2
Averages
2.2
High
2.2
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
Reason
Citi
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Nextdoor to $2.20 from $2.40 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following the Q3 report.
B. Riley
Naved Khan
Neutral
maintain
$2
2025-08-11
Reason
B. Riley
Naved Khan
Price Target
$2
2025-08-11
maintain
Neutral
Reason
B. Riley analyst Naved Khan raised the firm's price target on Nextdoor to $2.40 from $2 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm raised its FY25 revenue and adjusted EBITDA forecasts following the company's Q2 report last week.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NXDR
