Should I Buy NWSA? NWSA 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy News Corp (NWSA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

22.500

1 Day change

-7.06%

52 Week Range

31.610

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: trend is decisively bearish (MACD worsening, bearish moving-average stack) and the stock is trading below key pivot levels.
The stock is extremely oversold (RSI-6 ~12.5) and sitting just above support (S2 ~23.48), so a short-term bounce is possible—but the downside risk remains elevated if support breaks.
Earnings are scheduled after hours (2026-02-05), which is a near-term event catalyst that can overwhelm technicals; given the current downtrend and no proprietary buy signal, the risk/reward for an impatient entry is unfavorable.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Down today (-4.13%) in a weak market tape (S&P 500 -1.05%), but the setup is stock-specific bearish.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.296 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening.
Overbought/Oversold: RSI_6 = 12.53 → extremely oversold (bounce potential), but oversold can persist in downtrends.
Moving Averages: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 → clear bearish alignment (sell-the-rallies structure).
Key Levels:
- Support: S2 23.476 (price 23.65 is just above), then likely further weakness if S2 breaks.
- Resistance/Mean reversion targets: S1 24.311, Pivot 25.661, then R1 27.011.
Statistical/Pattern outlook (provided): Similar-pattern odds imply slightly negative drift: ~-3.22% next week, ~-0.25% next month.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment:
- Open Interest Put/Call = 0.01 → extremely call-heavy open interest (very bullish/skewed positioning).
- Volume Put/Call = 0.85 → today’s flow is closer to balanced (not nearly as call-skewed as OI).
Volatility:
- 30D IV 40.47 vs historical vol 23.99 → options implying elevated move expectations (event-driven).
- IV percentile 82.8 → IV is high relative to its recent history (options expensive).
Activity: Today’s options volume is low (50 contracts) even though volume vs 30D avg shows 1.43x; overall, the signal quality from flow is limited.
Interpretation: Skewed call OI suggests bullish longer-dated positioning, but with earnings after-hours and elevated IV, near-term entries are not getting “cheap” optionality and the stock can still break support.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings catalyst (after hours 2026-02-05): Could trigger a sharp rebound if results/guidance beat expectations.
- Product expansion: Launch of the California Post tabloid may support growth narrative in the News segment.
- Analyst stance remains constructive: Despite modest price target trims, key firms maintain Buy/Overweight.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical breakdown risk: Price is hovering just above S2 (~23.48); a break can accelerate selling.
- Momentum is deteriorating: MACD is negative and worsening; moving averages remain bearish.
- Earnings uncertainty: With elevated implied volatility and a downtrend into the print, a miss or cautious commentary can drive further downside.
- Positioning risk: Extremely call-heavy open interest can unwind quickly if earnings disappoint.
- No supportive flow/trend signals: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral; Intellectia signals show no buy trigger.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q1
- Revenue: $2.144B (+2.29% YoY) → modest top-line growth.
- Net income: $112M (-5.88% YoY) → profitability declined.
- EPS: 0.20 (-4.76% YoY) → earnings pressure.
- Gross margin: 50.65% (+2.86% YoY) → margin improvement, but not enough to offset net income/EPS decline.
Takeaway: Fundamentals are mixed—revenue and gross margin improving, but bottom-line growth is currently negative (not the kind of backdrop that typically reverses a strong technical downtrend immediately).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent changes:
- 2025-11-25: JPMorgan cut PT to $38 from $40, reiterated Overweight.
- 2025-11-13: Guggenheim cut PT to $43 from $45, reiterated Buy.
Wall Street pros: Both firms still see upside and cite valuation attractiveness despite model updates.
Wall Street cons: The direction of revisions is negative (price targets trimmed post-earnings/model updates), suggesting tempered expectations near-term.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; no notable politician activity provided.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NWSA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NWSA is 40.33 USD with a low forecast of 38 USD and a high forecast of 43 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 24.210

Low

Averages

40.33

High

Current: 24.210

Low

Averages

40.33

High

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

downgrade

$38

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$38

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on News Corp. to $32.40 from $38 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated estimates following the first half of FY26 results, but says there is no change to its "fundamental positive thesis."

JPMorgan

Overweight

downgrade

$40 -> $38

2025-11-25

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$40 -> $38

2025-11-25

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on News Corp. to $38 from $40 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the fiscal Q1 report. It sees an attractive valuation at current share levels.

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NWSA Should I Buy

NWSA Should I Buy

Should You Buy News Corp (NWSA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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