Should I Buy NWS? NWS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy News Corp (NWS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

25.650

1 Day change

-6.35%

52 Week Range

35.580

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is in a strong short-term downtrend (bearish MA stack + negative/expanding MACD), and there are no Intellectia buy signals to override that.
Oversold (RSI_6 ~11) increases odds of a short bounce, but with an impatient profile, the setup is still unfavorable because trend-following signals are firmly bearish and price is below key support.
Options positioning is aggressively call-skewed and IV is elevated, suggesting traders are betting on a sharp move; that can support a bounce, but it also means expectations are already high.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside pressure across timeframes.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.397 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI: RSI_6 at 11.264 = extremely oversold; a reflex bounce is possible, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger in a strong downtrend.
Levels: Price 26.94 is below S1 (27.723) and sitting just above S2 (26.664); a break below ~26.66 increases risk of continued sell-through. Overhead pivot resistance is far at ~29.44.
Pattern-based probabilities (similar candlesticks): modest edge for near-term weakness (next week expected -1.26%) with only mild improvement over 1 month (+1.79%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Extremely call-heavy (OI PCR 0.04; volume PCR 0.11) → options market is positioned bullish/speculative.
Activity: Today’s volume (10) is ~25.64x the 30-day average and open interest is elevated vs average (today vs OI avg ~312%) → unusual attention and expectations for a bigger move.
Volatility: IV30 at 61.43 with IV percentile 83.27 → options are pricing an elevated move; this often coincides with event risk and can mean “expensive” premium.
Takeaway: Sentiment is bullish in options, but the stock’s technical trend is still bearish; this looks more like traders wagering on an event-driven snapback than a clean trend reversal.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Product/expansion catalyst: Launch of the California Post (new daily tabloid) could support circulation/brand expansion narrative if early traction is strong.
- Macro/vertical exposure: Housing and rent headlines may keep attention on real-estate information demand (relevant given News Corp’s exposure to property/listing data businesses), supporting longer-term engagement themes.
- Technical: Extreme oversold reading increases the probability of a short-term relief bounce if selling pressure eases near S2 (~26.66).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Price action: Down ~4.02% today with bearish MA structure and weakening MACD momentum suggests sellers are still in control.
- Event risk: Earnings noted for 2026-02-05 after hours (QDEC 2025 print) aligns with elevated IV; any disappointment or cautious outlook can extend the drawdown.
- No supportive flow signals: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no clear accumulation signal), and no Intellectia modules are flagging a buy setup.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q1.
Revenue: 2.144B, +2.29% YoY (modest top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income -5.88% YoY to 112M; EPS -4.76% YoY to 0.20 → earnings power softened despite revenue growth.
Margins: Gross margin 50.65% (+2.86% YoY) → cost/mix improved, but it did not translate into higher net income this quarter.
Overall: Quality is mixed—better gross margin but weaker bottom-line growth, which can limit immediate upside if the market is prioritizing earnings acceleration.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed here.
Wall Street-style pros (based on available fundamentals/news): improving gross margin and incremental product expansion (California Post).
Wall Street-style cons: slowing/negative earnings growth (net income and EPS down YoY) and currently bearish technical tape; without clear upgrades/raised targets, the market may require proof of re-acceleration before re-rating.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NWS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NWS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 27.390

Low

Averages

High

Current: 27.390

Low

Averages

High

Morgan Stanley

Andrew McLeod

Buy

Maintains

$38 → $37

AI Analysis

2025-04-11

Reason