Should I Buy NWPX? NWPX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy NWPX Infrastructure Inc (NWPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

74.320

1 Day change

4.93%

52 Week Range

74.470

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is extended after a sharp move (+3.08% today) and is pushing into resistance, raising near-term pullback risk.
Momentum is bullish, but RSI is stretched (RSI-6 ~73.5) and similar-pattern stats point to weakness over the next week/month.
Hedge funds are aggressively selling (selling amount +439% QoQ), which is a notable institutional headwind.
Options positioning is very call-heavy (bullish skew), but volumes are thin—sentiment support is not strong enough to override the stretched technical setup.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), confirming an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (0.0321), supporting continued upside momentum.
Overbought risk: RSI_6 at 73.465 indicates short-term overextension (buyers likely crowded).
Levels: Pivot 68.294 (key near-term support). Price 70.91 is above R1 70.441 and approaching R2 71.767—area prone to rejection.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlesticks): ~+1.23% next day, but -2.79% next week and -4.75% next month, suggesting a near-term bounce risk followed by mean-reversion pressure.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Extremely low put/call ratios (OI PCR 0.02; Volume PCR 0.07) imply strongly bullish skew (calls dominate).
Activity: Very low absolute volume (total volume 16 contracts; puts only 1), so sentiment signal is skewed but not broadly confirmed.
Volatility: 30D IV 41.48 vs historical vol 25.49 (options priced rich vs realized). IV rank 9.62 / IV percentile 28.29 indicates IV is not high relative to its own recent history (despite being above HV).
Flow context: Today’s volume is elevated vs 30D avg (14.16x), but from a low base—this looks like a small burst rather than sustained accumulation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Company executed multiple leadership promotions (Jan 29), which can be read as operational scaling/organizational strengthening in core segments (Water Transmission Systems, Precast, Permalok steel casing pipe plant).
- Latest reported quarter shows strong growth (revenue, earnings, margins), supporting the broader uptrend narrative.
- Options market skew is heavily call-dominant (bullish sentiment), albeit on light volume.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Institutional signal: Hedge funds are selling and the selling amount jumped +439.34% over the last quarter.
- Technical setup is extended: RSI-6 ~~73.5 and price is pressing into the R2 resistance zone (~~71.77), increasing odds of a near-term pullback.
- News flow is managerial (promotions) rather than demand/contract/earnings catalysts—limited event-driven fuel.
- No supportive congress trading read-through (no recent data available).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $151.067M, +16.03% YoY (solid top-line growth).
Net income: $13.505M, +31.72% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue).
EPS: $1.38, +35.29% YoY (strong earnings leverage).
Gross margin: 21.28%, +2.55% YoY (margin expansion supports quality of growth).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target changes were provided in the dataset, so there’s no confirmed recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade momentum to lean on.
Wall Street-style pros (based on fundamentals provided): accelerating earnings and expanding gross margins suggest improving operating leverage.
Wall Street-style cons (based on trading/positioning data provided): heavy hedge-fund selling and an overextended chart near resistance reduce near-term attractiveness for a fresh entry.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NWPX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NWPX is 70 USD with a low forecast of 70 USD and a high forecast of 70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 70.830

Low

Averages

High

Current: 70.830

Low

Averages

High

DA Davidson

Buy

maintain

$60 -> $70

AI Analysis

2025-10-31

Reason

DA Davidson

Price Target

$60 -> $70

AI Analysis

2025-10-31

maintain

Buy

Reason

DA Davidson raised the firm's price target on NWPX Infrastructure to $70 from $60 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's execution was solid in Q3 with active bidding/backlog build opportunities into Q4, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Industry consolidation seems to be more active lately, while NWPX should also be in the hunt with increasing liquidity, the firm added.

DA Davidson

Brent Thielman

Buy

maintain

$55 -> $60

2025-08-11

Reason

DA Davidson

Brent Thielman

Price Target

$55 -> $60

2025-08-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

DA Davidson analyst Brent Thielman raised the firm's price target on NWPX Infrastructure to $60 from $55 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company delivered solid upside and strong backlog in Q2, and the firm believes that momentum is increasing in the second half, expecting to see strong earnings and CF for NWPX which should also continue into 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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NWPX Should I Buy

NWPX Should I Buy

Should You Buy NWPX Infrastructure Inc (NWPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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