Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is breaking down sharply (down ~8.35% today, additional weakness pre-market) with bearish momentum still expanding.
No Intellectia edge today: AI Stock Picker = no signal; SwingMax = no recent signal, so there’s no proprietary “must-buy” trigger to override the bearish tape.
Options positioning is relatively call-heavy (bullish leaning), but it’s paired with extremely high volatility and weak underlying price action—more consistent with speculative dip-betting than a confirmed bottom.
With earnings on 2026-02-24 (after hours), the stock is vulnerable to further downside/whipsaw before a clear catalyst improves fundamentals.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.295 and negatively expanding => bearish momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI: RSI_6 ≈ 27.5 (oversold territory). This can produce bounces, but oversold is not a buy signal by itself when MACD is still deteriorating.
Moving averages: “Converging” MAs suggests indecision/transition, but today’s sharp drop tilts that transition bearish.
Key levels: Current ~7.51 is below S1 (7.831) and drifting toward S2 (6.958). Overhead pivot resistance is far away at 9.244, implying poor near-term reward/risk for a fast entry.
Pattern-based odds: Similar candlestick-pattern analysis implies ~60% chance of another ~-4.28% next day; near-flat week/month expectations, but with near-term downside skew.
Volatility: Very high risk regime (30D IV ~119%, HV ~115%); IV percentile ~79.7 suggests options are expensive versus recent history.
Activity: Today’s volume (16,708) is below recent averages (5D avg ~22,326; 10D avg ~28,610). Call-skew exists, but participation isn’t surging—less convincing as a “capitulation bottom” signal.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
can support a short technical bounce if selling pressure fades.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with next support at ~6.958, leaving room to drop before a clearer technical floor.
Financial Performance
Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 10.11M, down -53.36% YoY (major top-line deterioration).
Net income: -19.23M (still deeply negative; only slightly improved YoY by 2.69%).
EPS: -0.09, down -10% YoY.
Gross margin: -8.94 (deteriorated significantly YoY), signaling weak unit economics/production mix and unfavorable operating leverage.
Overall: Fundamentals (growth + margins) are trending the wrong way in the latest reported quarter.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so recent Wall Street revisions can’t be confirmed here.
Practical “pros vs cons” view from the available data: Pros = potential oversold bounce + call-heavy options sentiment + earnings catalyst; Cons = collapsing revenue, negative margins, and bearish price momentum dominating near-term trading.
Wall Street analysts forecast NVTS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVTS is 8.8 USD with a low forecast of 4.2 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NVTS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVTS is 8.8 USD with a low forecast of 4.2 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 7.430
Low
4.2
Averages
8.8
High
13
Current: 7.430
Low
4.2
Averages
8.8
High
13
Rosenblatt
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$8 -> $12
AI Analysis
2025-10-20
Reason
Rosenblatt
Price Target
$8 -> $12
AI Analysis
2025-10-20
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
Rosenblatt downgraded Navitas Semiconductor to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $12, up from $8. The firm sees expectations for the impact of 800VDC data center architecture as "well ahead of the market" and with the shares trading at about 60-times consensus FY26 revenue the firm thinks that investors "may not have the patience to see this market inflect" over the next roughly two years.
CJS Securities
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
2025-08-18
Reason
CJS Securities
Price Target
2025-08-18
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
CJS Securities downgraded Navitas Semiconductor to Market Perform from Outperform.
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