Should I Buy NVNI? NVNI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nvni Group Ltd (NVNI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.630

1 Day change

13.19%

52 Week Range

52.200

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now (avoid). Price is in a strong downtrend, has broken/failed near key support, and the short-term pattern model also leans further downside.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
With no fresh news catalysts, no notable hedge/insider accumulation, and analyst target cut driven by dilution/capital needs, the setup does not favor an immediate entry for an impatient buyer.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming sustained downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.089 (below 0) and negatively contracting → selling pressure may be easing, but trend is still down.
RSI(6): 13.87 (oversold) → a bounce is possible, but oversold conditions can persist in strong downtrends.
Key levels: Current price 1.45 is below S1 (1.478) (bearish break). Next notable support S2 ~1.093. Upside reclaim level/pivot around 2.10.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): 80% chance of -1.65% next day, -0.98% next week, -4.23% next month → near-term bias remains negative.

Positive Catalysts

- Oversold RSI could spark a short technical rebound.
- Analyst still maintains a Buy rating, citing high recurring revenue and potential M&A-driven growth in Brazil/Latin America (per Maxim).
- Pre-market is slightly positive (+0.65%), suggesting some dip-buying interest, though weak versus the broader trend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Strong bearish trend (all key moving averages stacked bearishly) and price weakness (down -5.88% in regular session).
- Support break: trading below 1.478 (S1) increases risk of a move toward ~1.093 (S2).
- Analyst price target collapse: Maxim cut PT from $70 to $8 (even while keeping Buy), primarily due to capital needs and dilution risk (higher share count forecast).
- No recent news to act as a catalyst to reverse sentiment.
- Institutional/insider signals: Hedge funds neutral over last quarter; insiders neutral over last month (no clear accumulation signal).

Financial Performance

Financial snapshot not available (data error: "list index out of range"), so the latest quarter/season growth trends cannot be verified from the provided data.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

[2026-01-28] Maxim: Maintains Buy but slashes price target to $8 from $70.
What changed: Target cut attributed to capital needs + depressed share price → higher expected share count/dilution.
Wall Street pros (per note): high recurring revenue base; potential incremental growth from M&A and perceived opportunity in Latin America.
Wall Street cons: dilution/capital requirements are now a front-and-center overhang, and the massive PT cut signals sharply reduced conviction on near-term upside magnitude.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NVNI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVNI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 1.440

Low

Averages

High

Current: 1.440

Low

Averages

High

Maxim

Buy

downgrade

$70 -> $8

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

Reason

Maxim

Price Target

$70 -> $8

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Maxim lowered the firm's price target on Nuvini to $8 from $70 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Nvni is well-positioned for 2026 with high recurring revenue and added growth from M&A, while thefirm also expects additional M&A in Brazil and more broadly in Latin America given a less competitive market, management's track record, and synergy potential, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Due to capital needs and compounded by the depressed stock price, the firm is increasing its share count forecast, which results in incremental dilution and a lower price target, Maxim added.

NVNI Should I Buy

NVNI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Nvni Group Ltd (NVNI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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