Should I Buy NVGS? NVGS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

18.230

1 Day change

3.64%

52 Week Range

18.830

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price action is weak (bearish MACD expansion) and the stock is trading below the key pivot (18.19) with nearby support just underneath.
Fundamentally attractive (strong Q3’25 growth and margin expansion), but there are no near-term catalysts or proprietary buy signals to justify an “impatient” entry today.
If you already own it: holding makes more sense than adding here given the current down-momentum.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.103 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum remains in control.
RSI: RSI_6 at 22.32 suggests the stock is stretched to the downside (oversold conditions), but oversold alone is not a confirmed reversal signal.
Moving averages: converging MAs → consolidation/indecision rather than a clear uptrend.
Levels: Price 17.62 is below Pivot 18.19 and slightly below S1 17.674; next support S2 17.356. Near-term resistance is R1 18.706.
Probabilistic pattern read: near-term mixed (next week bias slightly negative), but the next-month pattern skew is positive (reported +6.3%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.05 (calls heavily outweigh puts) → bullish-leaning positioning, but could also reflect limited hedging activity.
Activity: today’s options volume is 0 → sentiment inference from volume is not reliable today.
Volatility: 30D IV 41.26 vs historical vol 24.65, IV percentile 76.49 → options are pricing elevated uncertainty/risk; premium is relatively expensive.
Open interest snapshot: call OI 1,743 vs put OI 89; today’s OI 1,832 (elevated vs average).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Options open interest skew is strongly call-heavy (OI put/call 0.05), suggesting bullish positioning.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No news/catalysts in the past week; lacks an obvious event-driven trigger for an immediate bounce.
- Technicals are currently bearish (negative and expanding MACD), and price is below pivot with support levels being tested.
- Options IV is elevated (IV percentile ~76), implying the market is pricing higher uncertainty.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 153.086M, up 7.95% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Net income: 33.155M, up 82.45% YoY (strong operating/earnings leverage).
EPS: 0.50, up 92.31% YoY (earnings momentum is strong).
Gross margin: 31.9%, up 8.84% YoY (profitability trend improving).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst activity: [2025-12-09] Pareto (Eirik Haavaldsen) initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $21 price target.
Wall Street pro view (pros): improving earnings and margins, clear upside to the lone stated target.
Wall Street pro view (cons): limited breadth of recent analyst updates provided; near-term technical setup is weak despite the positive fundamental backdrop.
Influential trading check: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders reported as Neutral with no significant recent trend.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NVGS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVGS is 22.5 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 24 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 17.590

Low

Averages

22.5

High

Current: 17.590

Low

Averages

22.5

High

Pareto

Eirik Haavaldsen

initiated

$21

AI Analysis

2025-12-09

Reason

Pareto

Eirik Haavaldsen

Price Target

$21

AI Analysis

2025-12-09

initiated

Reason

Pareto analyst Eirik Haavaldsen initiated coverage of Navigator Holdings with a Buy rating and $21 price target.

Deutsche Bank

Chris Robertson

Buy

initiated

$24

2025-09-25

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Chris Robertson

Price Target

$24

2025-09-25

initiated

Buy

Reason

Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Robertson initiated coverage of Navigator Holdings with a Buy rating and $24 price target, which offers 45% upside. Navigator specializes in the seaborne transportation of liquefied petroleum gases, ammonia, ethylene, and ethane, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the liquefied petroleum gas carrier market will be supported by increased demand for the transportation of LPG commodities and products. Deutsche thinks this will allow Navigator to steadily increase its dividend, pursue share repurchases, and continue to invest in its fleet.

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NVGS Should I Buy

NVGS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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