Buy now (fits an impatient investor): the primary trend is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, positive/expanding MACD) and fundamentals just delivered an upside quarter.
Near-term upside is supported by strong Q2 FY2026 growth and a dividend raise; pullback (-2.13%) offers a reasonable entry without waiting.
Key level to watch: price is close to resistance (R1 ~43.83); a breakout can target ~45.84, while a failed push likely retests ~40.58 support.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.605 and expanding → bullish momentum still building.
RSI (6): 67.06 → approaching overbought but still not a hard reversal signal; implies strength with some risk of short-term pauses.
Levels: Pivot 40.58 (near-term support), R1 43.83 (immediate ceiling), R2 45.84 (next upside target); current price 42.87 is just below R1.
Pattern-based probability: model indicates ~70% chance of modest gains (next day ~0.24%, next week ~3.44%, next month ~6.51%), consistent with a grind-higher trend.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.48 is call-leaning (bullish skew in open interest).
Activity: today’s option volume is calls-only (57 calls vs 0 puts), another bullish sentiment tell, though absolute volume is not huge.
Volatility: IV 30d 37.18 vs historical vol 49.5; IV percentile 13.15 / IV rank 5.01 → options are relatively cheap vs recent history (market not pricing big downside shock).
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Q2 FY2026 results beat expectations on revenue (reported $48.2M, +12.2% YoY) per the news summary.
Strong profitability growth: net income +29.0% YoY; EPS +35.7% YoY.
Dividend raised from $0.14 to $0.15 (+7.1%), signaling confidence and adding shareholder-return support.
Options market positioning is call-tilted (OI PCR 0.48; put volume absent today).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with RSI near 67; momentum could stall short-term after a run.
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided for NSSC in the dataset, so a trend analysis of upgrades/downgrades or target revisions cannot be confirmed here.
Wall Street-style pros (from the provided fundamentals/news): accelerating EPS/net income growth, expanding gross margin, and a dividend hike.
Wall Street-style cons (from the provided technical/flow data): stock is near resistance and short-term momentum is getting warm (RSI ~67), increasing the chance of a brief consolidation.
Politicians/Congress: no recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure buying/selling data provided.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals (embedded): AI Stock Picker = no signal today; SwingMax = no recent signal (so this is a trend/fundamentals-driven buy rather than a platform-triggered entry).
Wall Street analysts forecast NSSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSSC is 48.6 USD with a low forecast of 47 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NSSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSSC is 48.6 USD with a low forecast of 47 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 43.470
Low
47
Averages
48.6
High
50
Current: 43.470
Low
47
Averages
48.6
High
50
TD Cowen
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$43 -> $50
AI Analysis
2025-11-04
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$43 -> $50
AI Analysis
2025-11-04
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen upgraded Napco Security to Buy from Hold with a price target of $50, up from $43.
TD Cowen
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$43 -> $50
2025-11-04
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$43 -> $50
2025-11-04
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen upgraded Napco Security to Buy from Hold with a price target of $50, up from $43. The company's results beat estimates for a third straight quarter on accelerating equipment sales growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes that with easy compares over the next two quarters, Napco's outperformance "could accelerate further." TD sees the shares as attractive given its "renewed near-term and longer-term conviction."
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NSSC
