Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the tape is still bearish (MACD negative and worsening) and price is sitting just below near-term support (16.05), which can easily break to the next support (14.38).
Oversold conditions (RSI ~27) raise the odds of a short-term bounce, but there is no Intellectia buy signal today to prioritize, and options liquidity is thin—so the risk/reward is not compelling for an immediate entry.
Fundamentals from the latest quarter show clear YoY deterioration (revenue, EPS, net income, margin), limiting confidence that any bounce is sustainable.
No notable hedge fund/insider accumulation trend and no recent Congress trading data to add conviction.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.734 and negatively expanding indicates bearish momentum is strengthening.
RSI: RSI_6 at 26.99 implies oversold/washed-out conditions, which can produce dead-cat bounces, but it is not a confirmed trend reversal signal by itself.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest a transition phase, but with MACD worsening, the bias remains downside until price reclaims key levels.
Key levels: Price 15.995 is marginally below S1 (16.05). A clean regain and hold above 16.05 would improve near-term stability; failure risks a move toward S2 (14.382). Upside reference is the pivot ~18.748 (meaning price has meaningful work to do to turn the structure bullish).
Relative action today: NRC is up ~3.73% while the S&P 500 is down ~1.08%, showing some defensive/idiosyncratic bid today, but not enough to override the bearish momentum signals.
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio of 0.12 is call-heavy (bullish skew), but this is on small absolute open interest (calls 860 vs puts 105), so interpret with caution.
Liquidity/Activity: Today’s option volume is extremely low (7 total contracts; calls 0), making sentiment inference noisy.
Volatility: IV 30d ~58.71 with IV percentile ~86.85 indicates elevated implied volatility versus its recent history (options are relatively expensive; market is pricing larger moves).
Realized vs implied: Historical volatility ~87.13 above IV suggests the underlying has been moving a lot; combined with thin options volume, this increases execution/slippage risk for option trades.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Dividend stability: Company declared/maintained a quarterly dividend of $0.16, which can support the stock for income-focused buyers.
Sequential improvement: Q4 revenue was down YoY but up ~2% sequentially, suggesting a possible bottoming in near-term demand.
Pattern-based forward bias: Similar candlestick pattern set suggests probabilistic upside over the next week/month (per provided model: positive expected drift).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Options market not confirming: Call-skewed open interest exists, but today’s option volume is near-zero, reducing confidence in sentiment signals.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter (2025/Q4): Revenue $35.193M, down ~4.64% YoY (though news notes a modest sequential uptick).
Profitability: Net income $1.797M, down ~72.61% YoY; EPS $0.08, down ~71.43% YoY.
Margins: Gross margin ~54.31%, down ~4.74% YoY.
Takeaway: The company remains profitable and is supporting a dividend, but growth and earnings momentum are clearly negative in the most recent reported quarter.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so there is no confirmed recent Street upgrade/downgrade trend to cite.
Wall Street-style pros view (based on provided fundamentals/news): recurring profitability, dividend maintenance, and potential sequential stabilization.
Wall Street-style cons view: multi-metric YoY declines (revenue, EPS, net income, margins) and a bearish technical setup near support—would likely keep analysts cautious absent evidence of re-acceleration.
Wall Street analysts forecast NRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NRC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NRC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
