Should I Buy NPKI? NPKI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy NPK International Inc (NPKI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

14.110

1 Day change

3.07%

52 Week Range

14.690

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: short-term momentum is weakening (MACD negative and expanding) while price sits below the pivot (13.972).
Upside exists if it reclaims 13.97–14.46, but near-term pattern stats skew bearish for the next week (-4.53% expected).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Best stance now: hold/watch for either a bounce off 13.48 support or a clean breakout above 13.97–14.46 before buying.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish longer-term stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is constructive.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0271 (below 0) and negatively expanding = bearish momentum building short-term.
RSI: RSI_6 = 45.4 (neutral) = no oversold edge yet.
Levels: Pivot 13.972 is the key line; resistance at 14.463 then 14.766. Support at 13.481 then 13.178.
Price context: At 13.76, the stock is below pivot and closer to support than resistance, favoring patience over chasing.
Quant/pattern read: 40% chance of only +0.4% next day, but expected -4.53% over next week (near-term skew negative).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Put/Call OI ratio 0.01 (calls dominate heavily), and today put volume is 0 (one-sided bullish sentiment), but total volume is tiny (7 contracts).
Activity: Today’s option volume vs 30D avg = 21.21x, yet from a very low base; interpret as a small flow spike, not broad conviction.
Volatility: IV 30D = 47.3 vs HV = 37.77 (options priced rich to realized). IV percentile 20.72 / IV rank 8.65 = relatively low vs its own history; volatility has been compressing (5D/10D IV averages higher than current).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Broad-trend tailwind: bullish moving average alignment supports upside if momentum turns.
- Options sentiment is strongly call-skewed (OI P/C 0.01), suggesting the market is positioned for upside.
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-26 (after hours), with EPS est. 0.11.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Short-term momentum is deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and worsening), increasing odds of a pullback.
- Price is below the pivot (13.972); failure to reclaim it keeps near-term bias cautious.
- No supportive news flow in the last week (no fresh catalysts).
- Earnings risk on 2026-02-26: could reprice the stock quickly either direction, which is unfavorable for an immediate impatient entry.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $68.84M, +55.72% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income $5.65M, -103.24% YoY and EPS $0.07, -103.47% YoY (material deterioration vs prior year; implies a swing from profit to loss or heavy compression).
Margins: Gross margin 31.91% (+16.21% YoY) (operating/profit line still weakened despite better gross margin, pointing to higher opex/other items).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so no confirmed recent trend in upgrades/downgrades.
Wall Street pro/con (based only on the provided fundamentals/price action):
- Pros: strong revenue growth, improved gross margin, bullish longer-term MA structure.
- Cons: sharp YoY deterioration in net income/EPS, weakening short-term momentum, and an upcoming earnings event that could validate or break the trend.
Influential/political trading check: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trends.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NPKI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NPKI is 18 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 18 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 13.690

Low

Averages

High

Current: 13.690

Low

Averages

High

H.C. Wainwright

upgrade

$12 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-11-03

Reason

H.C. Wainwright

Price Target

$12 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-11-03

upgrade

Reason

H.C. Wainwright raised the firm's price target on NPK International to $18 from $12 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company is positioned to continue benefiting from growing utility spend on power infrastructure expansion over the next three to five years, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Roth Capital

Buy

maintain

$10 -> $12

2025-08-12

Reason

Roth Capital

Price Target

$10 -> $12

2025-08-12

maintain

Buy

Reason

Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on NPK International to $12 from $10 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm anticipates the company to continue its strong growth trajectory through 2025 into 2026 as its worksite access solutions see geographic expansion, highly positive end market tailwinds, and market share gains from wooden mats, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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NPKI Should I Buy

NPKI Should I Buy

Should You Buy NPK International Inc (NPKI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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