Should I Buy NPK? NPK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

130.580

1 Day change

-2.43%

52 Week Range

137.780

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is extended (RSI_6 ~77) and sitting just below near-term resistance (R1 ~135.33), which limits immediate upside for an impatient entry.
Trend is still bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but momentum is cooling (MACD histogram positive but contracting), increasing the odds of a pullback rather than a clean breakout.
Intellectia signals are absent (no AI Stock Picker, no SwingMax), so there’s no proprietary edge suggesting a tactical buy today.
With next-month pattern odds skewed negative (-4.72% expected bias) and profitability/margins weakening YoY, the risk/reward at 134.58 is unattractive for a “buy now” decision.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Current price: 134.58 (-0.29%) in a down SP500 tape (-1.02%), showing relative resilience but still near a ceiling.
Moving averages: Bullish stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) = primary trend up.
RSI_6: 77.291 = overbought/extended condition (higher pullback risk).
MACD: Histogram 0.936 above zero but positively contracting = bullish momentum losing strength.
Levels:
- Pivot support: ~128.41 (first meaningful “reset” area)
- Resistance: R1 ~135.33 (immediate), R2 ~139.61 (next)
- Supports: S1 ~121.49, S2 ~117.21
Pattern-based outlook provided: +2.31% next day (40% chance), -0.75% next week, -4.72% next month bias = favors caution on chasing strength.

Positive Catalysts

was strong (+25.75% YoY).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Near-term technical is stretched: RSI overbought and price is pressing into resistance (R1 ~135.33).
- Momentum is decelerating: MACD histogram still positive but contracting.
- Profitability deterioration in 2025/Q3: net income, EPS, and gross margin all down YoY.
- Probabilistic/candlestick analog projection shows negative bias over 1-week to 1-month horizon.
- No Intellectia buy signals today (reduces conviction for an immediate entry).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 115,463,000 (+25.75% YoY) — strong top-line growth.
Net income: 5,317,000 (-34.22% YoY) — sharp profitability decline.
EPS: 0.74 (-34.51% YoY) — earnings power weakened.
Gross margin: 13.54 (-26.17% YoY) — meaningful margin compression, suggesting costs/price mix are pressuring profits despite higher sales.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating / price target change data was provided, so a current Wall Street consensus view cannot be confirmed from this dataset.
Practical takeaway given the available info: without supportive analyst upgrades or clear catalysts, the stock is relying mainly on technical trend, which is currently extended near resistance.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available (no corroborating signal from that channel).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NPK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NPK is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 133.830

Low

Averages

High