Should I Buy NOTV? NOTV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Inotiv Inc (NOTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

0.420

1 Day change

7.18%

52 Week Range

4.510

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is in a strong downtrend and momentum is still deteriorating despite being extremely oversold.
Any near-term bounce is possible (RSI ~8), but there is no proprietary buy signal (AI Stock Picker/SwingMax) to favor entering immediately.
Insider selling has surged (+3120% last month), which is a meaningful bearish confirmation while the stock is breaking down.
Upcoming results/calls create event risk that can easily overwhelm a technical “oversold” bounce.

Technical Analysis

Trend is decisively bearish: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 confirms persistent downward structure.
Momentum is worsening: MACD histogram is negative (-0.00566) and expanding lower, suggesting the selloff is still strengthening.
RSI_6 at 8.477 signals extremely oversold conditions, which can spark sharp dead-cat bounces—but oversold alone is not a buy trigger here.
Key levels: Pivot 0.487 (well above current price 0.3976). Nearby support S1 0.412 (already below), next support S2 0.366. Resistance levels to reclaim: 0.487 then 0.561.
Statistical pattern read-through (similar candlesticks): only modest expected upside (+0.56% next day, +2.97% next week, +4.5% next month), not strong enough to offset the dominant downtrend.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning leans bullish via open interest: Put/Call OI ratio = 0.14 (call-heavy), but this can also reflect speculative lottery-call activity in a penny stock.
Options activity is extremely thin (today’s total volume ~1 contract), so “sentiment” from volume is not reliable.
Volatility is extreme: 30D IV ~391% (IV percentile ~96%), indicating the market is pricing very large moves; this is typically unfavorable for straightforward long entries unless you have a strong edge/timing.
Today vs open interest avg is elevated (51.52), but with such tiny absolute volume, the signal quality remains low.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

can produce a sharp short-term rebound if selling pressure eases.
can act as a catalyst if results surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

can trigger large gaps in either direction.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $138.142M, up 5.92% YoY (top-line growth positive).
Net income: -$8.552M (loss), down -54.73% YoY (losses worsened vs prior year period).
EPS: -$0.25, down -65.75% YoY (earnings power weakening).
Gross margin: 13.82%, up 17.42% YoY (margin improvement is a bright spot, but still low and not yet translating into profitability).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Lake Street (2025-12-04): Maintains Buy rating but cut price target to $3 from $5, citing conservatively revised estimates despite improving foundation.
Wall Street pro view (pros): belief that refinancing + fewer headwinds could allow appreciation if fundamentals improve.
Wall Street con view (cons): target cut signals reduced confidence in near-term trajectory; current price action and worsening earnings metrics support the market’s skepticism.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NOTV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NOTV is 3 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 0.390

Low

Averages

High

Current: 0.390

Low

Averages

High

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Buy

downgrade

$5 -> $3

AI Analysis

2025-12-04

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$5 -> $3

AI Analysis

2025-12-04

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Lake Street analyst Frank Takkinen lowered the firm's price target on Inotiv to $3 from $5 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which thinks the "foundation is improving" and believes a refinancing, coupled with fewer headwinds, will allow shares to appreciate on "a realization of improved fundamentals," is lowering its target to account for its "conservatively revised estimates."

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Buy

downgrade

$6 -> $5

2025-05-08

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$6 -> $5

2025-05-08

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Lake Street analyst Frank Takkinen lowered the firm's price target on Inotiv to $5 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Inotiv's recovery "continues to trend favorably," but the firm is taking a more conservative stance with its revenue and EBITDA estimates as it now believes its prior view of the recovery ramp was "too steep," the analyst tells investors.

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NOTV Should I Buy

NOTV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Inotiv Inc (NOTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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