Should I Buy NMM? NMM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Navios Maritime Partners LP (NMM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

60.220

1 Day change

2.24%

52 Week Range

62.870

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: deteriorating profitability (Q3’25 net income/EPS down ~40%+ YoY) and hedge funds are actively selling.
Technicals look oversold and could bounce, but there is no Intellectia buy signal today to prioritize, and earnings (2026-02-19 pre-market) adds near-term event risk.
Options positioning is mildly bullish (puts not dominant), but trading activity is light and doesn’t strongly confirm a bullish reversal.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.457) but contracting, implying bearish momentum is easing (potential early stabilization, not a confirmed uptrend).
RSI: RSI(6) at ~24 is effectively oversold (despite the provided label), which can support a short-term bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation/indecision rather than a clear trend.
Levels: Provided pivot/support/resistance (Pivot 45.607; R1 47.479; R2 48.636) sit well below the current price (~59.6), implying the stock has already moved far above those referenced levels—risk/reward for a fresh chase is less attractive.
Pattern-based forward view: Similar-candlestick model suggests modest upside odds (next week +2.07%, next month +1.29%), not a strong edge.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.51 is call-leaning (mildly bullish positioning). Put/Call volume ratio 0.7 is also not bearish.
Activity: Today’s total options volume is low (95) vs 5D/10D averages (~726/576), suggesting limited conviction today.
Volatility: 30D IV ~~37% vs historical vol ~25% (options priced richer than realized), but IV rank (~~7) / IV percentile (~26) indicate IV is not elevated relative to its own history—no obvious “panic hedging” signal.
Near-term catalyst: Next earnings (2026-02-19 pre-market) can increase volatility and gap risk; current options data is not strongly signaling a one-sided outcome.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Dividend stability: Declared $0.05 quarterly dividend, maintained for 23 consecutive quarters (supports income/stability narrative).
- Revenue growth: Q3’25 revenue up ~1.79% YoY to ~$346.9M.
- Technical mean-reversion potential: Oversold RSI can support a short-term bounce if selling pressure fades.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Profitability deterioration: Q3’25 net income down ~42% YoY; EPS down ~41% YoY; gross margin down ~12% YoY—weak earnings quality trend.
- Positioning/flow: Hedge funds are selling, with selling amount up ~132.5% QoQ (negative institutional sentiment).
- Event risk: Earnings on 2026-02-19 pre-market could reprice the stock quickly.
- No supportive “influential buyer” signal: Insiders neutral; no recent Congress trading data available; no politician/influential figure activity provided to lean on.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: ~$346.9M, +1.79% YoY (top-line slightly up).
Net income: ~$55.1M, -42.43% YoY (sharp decline).
EPS: 1.90, -40.63% YoY.
Gross margin: ~59.16%, -12.37% YoY (margin compression is the key negative trend).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent trend assessment cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Wall Street-style pros view (based on available facts): steady dividend history and resilient revenue.
Wall Street-style cons view: meaningful YoY declines in net income/EPS and margin compression; plus hedge-fund selling suggests institutional caution.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NMM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NMM is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy