Should I Buy NLOP? NLOP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

19.540

1 Day change

1.24%

52 Week Range

34.530

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the primary trend remains bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and there is no proprietary “strong buy” signal today.
The stock is sitting near a key pivot/support (Pivot 19.064 vs price 19.155). That can produce a short bounce, but the setup is not strong enough to justify an aggressive entry without confirmation.
Sentiment inputs are mixed: hedge funds are accumulating strongly, but options positioning is roughly neutral on open interest and there’s no news catalyst to force an upside repricing.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish structure (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) indicates the dominant trend is still down.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.269) but “positively contracting,” implying upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI (6): 38.94 (neutral-to-weak). It’s not deeply oversold; this reduces the probability of a sharp mean-reversion pop without a trigger.
Key levels:
- Support: Pivot 19.064, then S1 18.633 (break below increases downside risk toward S2 18.366)
- Resistance: R1 19.496, then R2 19.763 (needs a reclaim to shift the near-term bias)
Pattern-based forward drift (provided): mild positive bias over 1D/1W, stronger over 1M (+9.24%), but this conflicts with the still-bearish moving-average stack (i.e., potential is there, timing is not ideal).

Options Data

Neutral

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio ~0.98 is essentially neutral (no strong directional crowding).
Flow (Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 0.29 is call-leaning (more bullish day-of flow), but total volume is small (22 contracts), so conviction is limited.
Volatility: 30D IV 25.57 with low IV percentile (24.3) and low IV rank (10.87) suggests options are relatively “cheap” vs recent history; sentiment is not fear-driven.
Activity vs normal: today’s volume is ~28.95x the 30-day average, indicating unusual attention despite low absolute contract count.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Hedge fund activity: “Hedge Funds are Buying!” with buying amount up +784.50% QoQ (supportive signal).
- Options flow today leans bullish (put/call volume 0.29).
- Price is holding just above a key pivot/support (19.064), which can act as a bounce point if it holds.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No news in the recent week: lack of event-driven catalyst reduces the odds of an immediate upside breakout.
- Technical trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5); rallies may get sold into until this improves.
- Momentum is not strengthening (MACD histogram positive but contracting).
- Business fundamentals still show losses (net income and EPS remain negative), limiting “fundamental” buyers in the near term.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 29.784M, down -5.39% YoY (top-line contraction).
Profitability: Net income improved YoY to -64.161M (up 59.23% YoY), but remains meaningfully negative.
EPS: -4.33, improved 58.61% YoY, still negative.
Gross margin: 89.75%, up 4.71% YoY (margin improvement is a plus, but it has not translated into positive earnings yet).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so there is no confirmed recent Wall Street trend to lean on.
Wall Street “pros” view (inferred from available info): hedge fund accumulation and improving (less negative) earnings metrics could support a turnaround narrative.
Wall Street “cons” view (inferred from available info): declining revenue, continued net losses, and a bearish technical backdrop would argue for waiting for clearer confirmation before buying.
Influential/political flows: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential buy/sell signal can be assessed from the dataset.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NLOP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NLOP is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 19.300

Low

Averages

High

Current: 19.300

Low

Averages

High

BWS Financial

Hamed Khorsand

Strong Buy

Maintains

$46

AI Analysis

2025-03-06

Reason