Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: there is no Intellectia buy signal today, recent revenue/EPS trends are weak, and the setup looks more neutral than opportunistic.
Options positioning is aggressively call-skewed (bullish sentiment), but without a confirming price-trend signal it looks more speculative than high-conviction.
If you must act today: this is closer to a “hold/avoid new entry” than a clean buy; better to wait for a clear technical breakout or a fresh SwingMax/AI Stock Picker trigger.
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0623) but negatively contracting (bearish momentum is fading, not reversing decisively).
RSI(6)=59.83: near the upper-neutral zone—mildly constructive, but not an oversold “easy buy” condition.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest consolidation/indecision rather than a strong trend.
Levels provided (Pivot 6.103 / R1 6.341 / S1 5.864) conflict with the current price (~11.75), so they’re not actionable for near-term support/resistance at today’s price.
Activity: Today’s option volume is very elevated vs the 30-day average (244.78%), suggesting a sentiment impulse and/or event-driven trading.
Volatility: IV30 ~60.46 vs HV ~57 (IV slightly above realized); IV percentile ~59.76 (moderately elevated), implying options are not cheap.
Takeaway: Options market leans bullish, but this can also mean “crowded calls” and higher premium—better when confirmed by a breakout rather than during consolidation.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Water Solutions strength: segment operating income rose to $98.2M (Q3 commentary) driven by higher processed water volumes and LEX II pipeline commencement.
Profitability improvement noted in news: income from continuing operations up 102.5% to $48.2M (Q3 fiscal 2026 mention) and Adjusted EBITDA reported at $172.5M.
Potential thematic catalyst: agreement with Natura Resources on nuclear desalination technology (could support long-term Water Solutions narrative).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Broader tape: market risk-off today (S&P 500 -1.02%), which can suppress smaller/levered names regardless of company-specific positives.
Financial Performance
Latest provided quarter: 2026/Q2
Revenue: 674.68M, -10.81% YoY (declining top line).
Net income: 3.15M, down -111.13% YoY (sharp deterioration vs prior-year quarter).
EPS: 0.02, down -109.52% YoY.
Gross margin: 27.93, +23.80% YoY (margin improved, but not translating into earnings growth in the snapshot).
Newsflow suggests Q3 operational strength in Water Solutions and higher adjusted EBITDA, but the consistent theme remains: revenue is under pressure and earnings are not steadily compounding.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so there’s no confirmed recent trend to cite.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided info): improving Water Solutions economics, pipeline-driven volume growth, and EBITDA improvement.
Cons: revenue declines and uneven EPS/GAAP performance; without clear rating/target upgrades, the “pro” case lacks external confirmation.
Influential trading check: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral; no recent Congress trading data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast NGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NGL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NGL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
