Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: trend is bullish but short-term is overextended (RSI-6 ~74) and price is sitting just below near-term resistance (R1 ~88.15).
Options sentiment is bullish (calls dominate), but without a fresh catalyst or proprietary buy signal, the risk/reward for an immediate chase is unfavorable.
Best stance today: HOLD / wait for either a pullback toward ~84.8 (pivot) or a clean breakout above ~88.2 before treating it as a buy.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.447) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is still present but weakening.
Overbought/Stretch: RSI_6 = 74.45 (overbought/extended), often associated with near-term pullback risk.
Key levels: Pivot 84.79 (first area to watch for support), Resistance 88.15 (R1) then 90.23 (R2); Support 81.43 (S1).
Short-horizon pattern odds: Similar-pattern model implies modest upside next week (+2.07%) but negative 1-month bias (-2.21%), aligning with “near-term strength, medium-term consolidation/pullback” risk.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: AI Stock Picker no signal today; SwingMax no recent signal (no strong system-driven “buy now” trigger).
Options market leans bullish (low put/call ratios) with above-average activity.
Analyst support exists: Morgan Stanley initiated Overweight (positive framing), and Citi raised its target (even while staying Neutral).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
while the stock is down today (regular -1.03%, pre -1.87%) → momentum risk at the top of the range.
Financial Performance
Financial snapshot unavailable in the provided data (error), so latest-quarter/season growth trends cannot be assessed here.
Hedge fund and insider activity are both reported as Neutral, with no notable recent trend to confirm accelerating fundamentals.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Targets/coverage are constructive but mixed.
[2026-01-26] Citi: Neutral, price target raised to 1,149 GBp (from 1,073) → improving view on value but not a clear bullish call.
[2025-12-11] Morgan Stanley: initiated Overweight, $85.50 target → supportive, though the current price (~86.93) is already above that target.
Wall Street pros: Defensive utility profile + improving targets/initiations.
Wall Street cons: Mixed conviction (Neutral rating present) and at least one notable target is below the current price, limiting perceived upside right now.
Wall Street analysts forecast NGG stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NGG is 85.5 USD with a low forecast of 85.5 USD and a high forecast of 85.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NGG stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NGG is 85.5 USD with a low forecast of 85.5 USD and a high forecast of 85.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 86.890
Low
85.5
Averages
85.5
High
85.5
Current: 86.890
Low
85.5
Averages
85.5
High
85.5
Morgan Stanley
NULL -> Overweight
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
upgrade
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on National Grid to 1,400 GBp from 1,275 GBp and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
Citi
Jenny Ping
Neutral
maintain
2026-01-26
Reason
Citi
Jenny Ping
Price Target
2026-01-26
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst Jenny Ping raised the firm's price target on National Grid to 1,149 GBp from 1,073 GBp and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NGG