Should I Buy NFE? NFE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc (NFE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.260

1 Day change

1.61%

52 Week Range

12.960

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is in a strong bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) with downside momentum still accelerating (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
Options positioning is defensive (puts > calls on both open interest and volume), suggesting traders are still leaning bearish rather than betting on a durable rebound.
Latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) shows sharp YoY revenue decline and deep losses, weakening the fundamental backdrop for an immediate bounce.
With no Intellectia buy signals (AI Stock Picker / SwingMax) and no positive news catalysts, the risk/reward is unfavorable for an impatient buyer today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish; moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram = -0.0282 (below 0) and negatively expanding, indicating selling pressure is still increasing.
RSI (6): 29.826, near oversold territory; this can allow short-lived bounces, but it is not a reversal signal by itself given the bearish MA/MACD setup.
Levels: Pivot 1.53 is well above current price (1.225), showing the stock is trading below key equilibrium. Immediate supports: S1 ~1.232 (being tested) then S2 ~1.048. Resistances: R1 ~1.828, R2 ~2.012.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): modest upside over 1 day/week but negative over 1 month (-1.07%), consistent with “bounce risk” inside a broader downtrend.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put open interest (164,797) exceeds call open interest (148,868) -> OI put/call = 1.11 (bearish/defensive skew).
Activity: Put volume (4,170) exceeds call volume (3,680) -> volume put/call = 1.13 (near-term sentiment also leans bearish).
Volatility: Very elevated; 30D IV = 199.21 vs historical vol = 105.79, implying options are pricing extreme moves.
IV trend: IV 5D avg (247.466) > current 30D IV (199.21), suggesting implied volatility has come down recently but remains extremely high.
Liquidity note: Today’s volume (7,850) is below 5D/10D averages (8,310 / 9,219.1), implying reduced participation during a decline (not a strong capitulation signal).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

can support a short-term bounce if selling pressure eases.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

area and near next downside level (S2 ~1.048), increasing the odds of another leg down if support fails.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 327.367M, down -42.32% YoY (sharp contraction).
Profitability: Net income -299.97M, down -3786.04% YoY (losses widened dramatically).
EPS: -1.07, down -3666.67% YoY (heavy deterioration).
Gross margin: 22.2%, down -36.57% YoY (weaker unit economics).
Bottom line: Financial trend is deteriorating, which reduces the probability of a durable, fundamentals-backed rebound in the near term.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Wall Street-style pros (in general): A deeply sold-off price can attract contrarian value/speculation if a turnaround catalyst emerges.
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided fundamentals/price action): collapsing YoY revenue, sharply widening losses, and a strong technical downtrend typically keep institutional sentiment cautious until evidence of stabilization appears.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NFE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NFE is 1 USD with a low forecast of 1 USD and a high forecast of 1 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 1.240

Low

Averages

High

Current: 1.240

Low

Averages

High

Capital One

Equalweight -> Underweight

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-09-08

Reason

Capital One

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-09-08

downgrade

Equalweight -> Underweight

Reason

Capital One downgraded New Fortress Energy to Underweight from Equalweight with a $1 price target.

Johnson Rice

Buy

Hold

downgrade

$7 -> $4

2025-08-13

Reason

Johnson Rice

Price Target

$7 -> $4

2025-08-13

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

Johnson Rice downgraded New Fortress Energy to Hold from Buy with a price target of $4, down from $7.

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NFE Should I Buy

NFE Should I Buy

Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc (NFE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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