Not a good buy right now: price is in a clear downtrend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum is still deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
The stock is trading below the near support zone (S1 4.874) with next support around S2 4.694, so downside risk remains immediate for an impatient buyer.
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but it is not translating into price strength yet; without a catalyst, it’s more likely a “hope” signal than a timing edge.
Intellectia signals do not provide a tactical greenlight today (no AI Stock Picker / no SwingMax), so there’s no strong reason to step in immediately.
With no news catalysts and losses still deepening, the most probable path near-term remains lower rather than a fast rebound.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bearish structure with stacked moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), consistent with a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.00466 (below zero) and negatively expanding → selling pressure is still building, not stabilizing.
RSI: RSI_6 ≈ 25.2 → functionally oversold, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends; this is a “possible bounce” condition, not a buy confirmation.
Key levels: Pivot 5.166 (overhead), Resistance R1 5.459 / R2 5.639; Support S1 4.874 (already broken with price ~4.82), next Support S2 4.694.
Probabilistic pattern read: Similar-pattern projection shows downside bias (next day ~-0.27%, next week ~-1.8%, next month ~-15.43%).
Sentiment: Put/call ratios are very low (OI PCR 0.21; Volume PCR 0.33) → options market is positioned more bullish/speculative than bearish.
Activity: Today’s volume 4,079; ~110.9% of 30-day average → slightly elevated activity (interest is there, but not a blowout).
Volatility: 30D IV 62.1 vs historical vol 55.1 → options are pricing elevated volatility; IV percentile ~43 (mid-range), IV rank ~9.93 (low vs its own recent extremes), suggesting IV isn’t at a peak.
Skew/positioning note: Call open interest (156,571) far exceeds put open interest (32,466), reinforcing bullish positioning—however price action remains weak, so this is not a standalone buy signal.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
and pushes toward the pivot (5.166).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
and the next support is lower (S2 4.694), leaving near-term air-pocket risk.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: reported as 0 (0.00% YoY) → effectively pre-revenue/limited revenue visibility in the snapshot.
Profitability: Net income -$109.48M (down -11.13% YoY) → losses widened.
EPS: -0.42 (down -10.64% YoY) → earnings trend deteriorated versus last year.
Overall: financial trajectory in the snapshot is negative (deepening losses without revenue growth), which typically weighs on buyer confidence during risk-off tapes.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so there is no confirmable recent trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided data only): options market positioning is optimistic; potential for oversold bounce.
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided data only): downtrending chart with weakening momentum; lack of near-term catalysts; worsening losses in 2025/Q3.
Wall Street analysts forecast NEXT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NEXT is 7 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NEXT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NEXT is 7 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.820
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Current: 4.820
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Capital One
NULL -> Overweight
initiated
$7
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Capital One
Price Target
$7
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
initiated
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Capital One initiated coverage of NextDecade with an Overweight rating and $7 price target.
Seaport Research
Sunil Sibal
Buy
downgrade
$15 -> $12
2025-09-16
Reason
Seaport Research
Sunil Sibal
Price Target
$15 -> $12
2025-09-16
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Seaport Research analyst Sunil Sibal lowered the firm's price target on NextDecade to $12 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NEXT
