Not a good buy right now: price is in a clear downtrend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and currently trading below key pivot (0.185).
No Intellectia edge today: no AI Stock Picker and no SwingMax entry signal, so there is no strong short-term setup to justify an impatient buy.
Fundamentals are deteriorating despite revenue growth: latest quarter shows sharply worsening losses and deeply negative gross margin, which is a major red flag for near-term upside follow-through.
With no news/catalysts and weak tape, the highest-probability move is continued chop/down rather than a sustained rebound; avoid initiating and consider exiting if already holding.
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), implying sellers control the bigger picture.
Momentum: MACD histogram is above 0 (0.00283) but “positively contracting,” suggesting any bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~27 indicates heavily weak/near-oversold conditions; this can support a short-lived bounce, but it is not a reliable buy trigger by itself in a downtrend.
Levels: Price (0.1566) is below S1 (0.162) and near S2 (0.148). This is a weak location technically; a break below ~0.148 would further confirm downside.
Resistance overhead: Pivot 0.185 then R1 0.208—price would need to reclaim these to shift the short-term bias away from bearish.
Pattern-based expectation: similar-pattern stats suggest only modest upside probabilities (+0.55% next day, +0.67% next week, +4.04% next month), not compelling given the risk profile.
Positive Catalysts
could spark a reflex bounce from the 0.148–0.162 support zone.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
increases probability of support breakdown.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 3,545,412, up +38.62% YoY (top-line growth is positive).
Net income: -8,799,313, down -1872.04% YoY (losses expanded dramatically).
EPS: -0.57, down -456.25% YoY (earnings trend deteriorated).
Gross margin: -33.54%, down -152.67% YoY (negative margin indicates core business economics are currently unfavorable).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, suggesting limited/unclear Wall Street coverage.
Wall Street-style pros view (based on available data): revenue growth could be a positive if it eventually converts to margin improvement.
Wall Street-style cons view: rapidly worsening losses and negative gross margin outweigh the revenue growth; without a catalyst or improving profitability trajectory, institutions typically remain cautious.
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available (no signal of influential buying/selling).
Wall Street analysts forecast NCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NCL is 0.97 USD with a low forecast of 0.97 USD and a high forecast of 0.97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NCL is 0.97 USD with a low forecast of 0.97 USD and a high forecast of 0.97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
