Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: there is no proprietary buy signal, near-term probabilistic trend is slightly negative, and price action is neutral-to-soft.
The only constructive bullish datapoints are: heavy hedge-fund accumulation last quarter and extremely call-skewed options open interest (put/call OI ~0.02), but those are not confirmed by price momentum today.
Better entry (if forced to act soon): closer to support around 1.92 (S1). A clean break above ~2.24 (R1) would improve the setup, but that is not happening yet.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is slightly negative (-0.00264) but contracting, implying bearish pressure is fading rather than reversing into a clear uptrend.
RSI(6) ~53.4: neutral; no oversold bounce signal and no strong overbought condition.
Moving averages: converging, consistent with consolidation/indecision rather than a directional move.
Key levels: Pivot ~2.078 is just above current price (2.065) = mild overhead friction; support at 1.916 (S1) then 1.816 (S2); resistance at 2.241 (R1) then 2.341 (R2). A decisive move above R1 would be the first stronger technical “buy” confirmation.
Pattern-based forward odds: model suggests ~-2.1% over the next week and ~flat over the next month—doesn’t favor chasing now.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call Open Interest Ratio at 0.02 is extremely call-heavy (bullish skew), but today’s options volume is 0, so there’s no fresh confirmation from trading flow.
Volatility: 30D IV ~289.7% with IV percentile ~81.3 (very elevated). This signals a highly speculative name and/or expected event risk; option premiums are expensive.
Open interest: Calls OI 1909 vs Puts OI 33—sentiment is optimistic, but without volume it reads more like legacy positioning than a new bullish push.
indicates bullish skew among options holders (though not confirmed by volume today).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No recent news catalysts in the past week; lacks a clear near-term driver to spark momentum.
Technicals are not in a confirmed uptrend (MACD slightly negative; price just below pivot), increasing the odds of chop or drift lower.
Options IV is extremely high (30D ~290%): the market is pricing large moves; absent a catalyst, risk/reward for new entries is less attractive.
Pattern-based outlook points to modest weakness over the next week (-2.1%).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 0 (no growth; indicates the business is still pre/early commercialization).
Profitability: Net income -$13.57M (worse YoY by ~17.5%); EPS -0.11 (worse YoY by ~15.4%). Loss trend is deteriorating.
Overall: financials show ongoing cash-burn dynamics with no revenue inflection yet—this weakens the case for an “impatient buy now.”
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent Street-trend read cannot be confirmed.
Wall Street-style pros (based on available data): hedge fund accumulation; potential catalyst window into earnings.
Wall Street-style cons (based on available data): ongoing losses with no revenue; no clear near-term catalyst/news; technical trend not confirmed.
Wall Street analysts forecast NAUT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NAUT is 2.5 USD with a low forecast of 2.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NAUT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NAUT is 2.5 USD with a low forecast of 2.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
