Should I Buy NAT? NAT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nordic American Tankers Ltd (NAT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

4.260

1 Day change

2.16%

52 Week Range

4.290

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: near resistance (R1 ~4.23) with momentum weakening (MACD histogram negative/expanding).
Options positioning is extremely call-skewed (very low put/call ratios) alongside high IV percentile—often a “crowded bullish” setup with poor near-term reward/risk for impatient entries.
Fundamentals from the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) deteriorated (revenue down YoY, net loss), so the chart strength isn’t backed by improving financial momentum.
With earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-23 pre-market, event risk is close; without a proprietary buy signal today, the risk/reward favors staying out rather than chasing.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is still up.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.00144 and negatively expanding indicates upside momentum is fading despite the uptrend.
RSI: RSI_6 at 64.54 = upper-neutral/near-overbought; supports the idea of limited immediate upside.
Levels: Pivot 4.139 (near current 4.19). Resistance: R1 4.231 then R2 4.287. Support: S1 4.047 then S2 3.991. Price is closer to resistance than support, which is unfavorable for a fresh, impatient entry.
Pattern-based forward bias (provided): 40% chance of -1.72% next day and -1.66% next week, only +0.55% next month—skews against buying “right now.”

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Very bullish/call-heavy positioning (OI put/call 0.2; volume put/call 0.07) suggests traders are leaning strongly to upside.
Activity: Today’s options volume 865 with call volume 805 vs put volume 60; volume is elevated vs recent averages (today vs 30-day avg volume: 28.79).
Volatility: Implied vol (30d) ~49.6 vs historical vol ~32.37; IV percentile 76.89 indicates options are relatively expensive and market is pricing elevated movement/risk.
Takeaway: Call-crowding + high IV can cap near-term upside and raises the bar for a “good buy now” entry (more room for disappointment).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Macro/news tailwind: market interest in dividend-yielding names amid turbulence can support NAT’s bid if income-seeking flows persist.
- Upcoming catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-23 (pre-market) with EPS estimate 0.09 could move the stock if results surprise positively.
- Technical backdrop remains broadly bullish via moving-average alignment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical momentum is weakening (negative, expanding MACD histogram) while price sits near resistance (~4.23), increasing pullback odds.
- Options market is extremely one-sided bullish; if price stalls, positioning can unwind quickly.
- Earnings event is soon (2026-02-23), adding binary risk for an entry taken “right now.”
- No notable hedge fund/insider accumulation signals provided (both neutral), reducing confidence in near-term upside follow-through.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 45.687M, down -12.20% YoY (top-line contraction).
Net income: -2.781M, down -132.02% YoY (shift/slide into deeper losses).
EPS: -0.01, down -125.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 30.25%, down -28.62% YoY (profitability pressure).
Overall: growth and profitability trends are weakening, which undermines the case for buying strength at current levels.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

The provided news references analyst-rating tools for high-yield/energy stocks but does not include specific NAT upgrades/downgrades or price-target changes.
Wall Street “pros” view (inferred from context): income/high-yield appeal can attract buyers during volatility.
Wall Street “cons” view (supported by financials): cyclicality and recent YoY deterioration (revenue, margins, losses) can limit willingness to pay up; near-term conviction appears low without fresh positive revisions.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no politician activity indicated.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NAT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NAT is 3 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 4.170

Low

Averages

High

Current: 4.170

Low

Averages

High

Evercore ISI

Jonathan Chappell

In Line

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-10-28

Reason

Evercore ISI

Jonathan Chappell

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-10-28

maintain

In Line

Reason

Evercore ISI analyst Jonathan Chappell raised the firm's price target on Nordic American Tankers to $3 from $2.50 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares. Heading into the winter season, which is traditionally a time for rising rates, the tanker market setup "looks promising," the analyst tells investors in a note on the group.

Jefferies

Omar Nokta

Hold

Maintains

2025-02-28

Reason

Jefferies

Omar Nokta

Price Target

2025-02-28

Maintains

Hold

Reason

NAT Should I Buy

NAT Should I Buy

Should You Buy Nordic American Tankers Ltd (NAT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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