Should I Buy MTW? MTW 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

15.030

1 Day change

3.58%

52 Week Range

15.210

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the stock is technically extended (RSI ~73) and sitting near resistance after a strong run.
Street view is clearly bearish (Underweight) with price targets ($9–$10) far below the current price (~$14.41), limiting upside credibility near-term.
Earnings are imminent (2026-02-09 after hours) and options are pricing a big move (very high IV), which makes new long entries less attractive right here.
If you must act immediately, this is better treated as a short-term hold/avoid-new-buy rather than a fresh buy setup.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (+0.0726), supporting ongoing upside momentum.
Overbought/extension: RSI_6 at ~72.9 is overbought, increasing the odds of a pullback or consolidation.
Levels: Pivot support ~13.57; near-term resistance R1 ~14.353 (price ~14.41 is slightly above) and R2 ~14.837. Upside looks technically “crowded” into resistance while downside to pivot is meaningful.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Extremely call-skewed open interest (put/call OI 0.11) and zero put volume today signals strongly bullish positioning.
Pricing: Implied vol (30d) ~74.35 vs historical vol ~39.3; IV percentile 88 suggests options are expensive and pricing a sizable move.
Catalyst timing: Elevated IV aligns with the upcoming earnings date (2026-02-09 AH), implying the market expects event-driven movement.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Technical uptrend remains intact (bullish moving averages + positive MACD).
- Earnings catalyst on 2026-02-09 after hours could reward a beat/raise.
- 2025/Q3 revenue growth (+5.45% YoY) and gross margin improvement (+11.17% YoY to 18.41%) show operational improvement.
- Pattern-based projection indicates modest upside odds (model suggests ~2.8% next week).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

and price sitting near resistance (R1/R2 zone) makes risk/reward unattractive for a fresh buy today.
well below the current price, implying limited fundamental support at this level.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $553.4M, up +5.45% YoY (top-line growth positive).
Gross margin: 18.41%, up +11.17% YoY (margin improvement).
Net income: $5.0M, down -171.43% YoY (profitability deteriorated materially).
EPS: $0.14, down -170.00% YoY (earnings power weak vs prior year despite revenue growth).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Wells Fargo maintains an Underweight view; price target raised slightly to $10 from $9 (2026-01-23) after initiating at Underweight with $9 (2025-11-13).
Wall Street pros (bull case): Machinery cycle improving, indicators accelerating, and better cash conversion could support the group and help MTW.
Wall Street cons (bear case): Intense pricing competition, limited distribution/parts tailwind, and longer-term share deterioration make margin expansion difficult—core reason for Underweight.
Net takeaway: Analyst stance remains negative despite a small PT bump; at $14.41 the stock is trading far above the cited targets.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MTW stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTW is 9.5 USD with a low forecast of 9 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

0 Hold

2 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 14.510

Low

Averages

9.5

High

Current: 14.510

Low

Averages

9.5

High

Wells Fargo

Underweight

maintain

$9 -> $10

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$9 -> $10

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

maintain

Underweight

Reason

Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Manitowoc to $10 from $9 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm reiterates its positive outlook for the Machinery, Industrials & Environmental Services space heading into earnings. Wells argues the Machinery supply-driven recovery is broadening to new equipment, non-residential lead indicators are accelerating, and cash conversion is improving.

Wells Fargo

Jerry Revich

Underweight

initiated

2025-11-13

Reason

Wells Fargo

Jerry Revich

Price Target

2025-11-13

initiated

Underweight

Reason

Wells Fargo analyst Jerry Revich initiated coverage of Manitowoc with an Underweight rating and $9 price target. Intense crane industry pricing competition with limited distribution value due to low parts consumption, along with longer-term market share deterioration, adds up to a "challenging margin expansion environment," the analyst tells investors.

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MTW Should I Buy

MTW Should I Buy

Should You Buy Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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