Not a good buy right now: price is pressing into near-term resistance (R1 ~149.39) with RSI elevated and no proprietary “strong buy” signals today.
Technical trend is bullish overall, but the risk/reward for an impatient entry is unfavorable at 149 given limited upside to resistance levels vs. downside to the pivot (141).
Options market is very call-heavy (bullish skew), but overall volume is light; implied volatility is elevated ahead of earnings, increasing event risk.
Analyst sentiment recently weakened (downgrade to Neutral), reducing near-term “Wall Street push”.
Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages aligned (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.371) and expanding, supporting continued upside momentum.
RSI: 6-day RSI ~66.7 (not overbought, but elevated), suggesting upside may be getting crowded near resistance.
Key levels: Pivot support ~141.13; immediate resistance R1 ~149.39 (price 148.99 is right below it); next resistance R2 ~154.50.
Near-term expectation (pattern analogs): mixed—slightly negative 1-day / modestly positive 1-week / slightly negative 1-month, which argues against chasing at resistance.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio 0.12 indicates strong call dominance (bullish sentiment).
Volume: Very low put activity (0 puts today; 23 calls), so the “bullish” read is directionally positive but not strongly confirmed by broad participation.
Volatility: 30D IV ~43.68 vs historical vol ~45.39 (roughly in-line), but IV percentile is high (86.85), consistent with earnings being priced in.
Event setup: Elevated IV into the 2026-02-16 pre-market earnings increases the odds of a sharp move; buying shares here means paying up near resistance while the market prices uncertainty.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Uptrend intact (bullish MA stack + positive MACD) supports the case for trend continuation if resistance breaks.
Options open interest skew is strongly bullish (call-heavy).
Latest reported quarter showed margin expansion and strong EPS/net income growth (operational improvement).
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-16 pre-market) could act as a catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Price is effectively at first resistance (R1 ~149.39), making near-term upside potentially capped unless a clean breakout occurs.
Elevated IV percentile into earnings suggests the market expects a notable move; downside reactions can be abrupt.
Recent analyst downgrade (Seaport Research to Neutral from Buy) weakens near-term sentiment support.
No supportive news flow in the last week (no fresh narrative catalyst to justify chasing at resistance).
Cons: less supportive analyst stance into earnings; entry price is near resistance, increasing the chance of a near-term stall or pullback.
Wall Street analysts forecast MTRN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTRN is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast MTRN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTRN is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 145.830
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 145.830
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Seaport Research
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
Seaport Research downgraded Materion to Neutral from Buy.
KeyBanc
Overweight -> Sector Weight
downgrade
2025-10-30
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
2025-10-30
downgrade
Overweight -> Sector Weight
Reason
KeyBanc last night downgraded Materion to Sector Weight from Overweight without a price target following the Q3 report. While the company's new business wins in growth markets are encouraging, uncertainty on positive material identification 2026 clad demand and lingering procurement risks from Chinese customers "offer balance," the analyst tells investors in a research note. KeyBanc points out Materion shares up 31% since its upgrade to Overweight on July 17.
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