Not a good buy right now: price is breaking below near-term support while momentum is still worsening (bearish MACD expansion).
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but without a confirming price reversal this looks more like speculation than a confirmed turn.
With earnings due 2026-02-16 (after hours), risk/reward is cleaner after the stock either stabilizes above ~7.39/8.06 or flushes closer to ~6.97 support and holds.
Intellectia signals are absent today, so there is no proprietary “strong buy” override.
Technical Analysis
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram at -0.125 and negatively expanding suggests downside momentum is still building.
Oversold condition: RSI(6) at ~25.4 indicates short-term oversold conditions, which can support a bounce—but it is not a reversal signal by itself.
Levels: Price (7.24) is below S1 (7.388), increasing the odds of a test of S2 (6.974). Pivot resistance is ~8.059; reclaiming it would improve the setup.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggests the market is coiling, but the current break lower favors bears until price reclaims key levels.
Pattern-based stats (similar candlesticks): modest bullish drift probabilities (+1.81% next day / +3.81% next week / +4.36% next month), but this conflicts with the currently deteriorating momentum.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: Open interest put/call (0.12) and volume put/call (0.16) are extremely call-heavy, implying bullish sentiment/skew.
Activity: Today’s option volume (166) is ~35.47x the 30-day average, indicating an unusually active options day.
Volatility: 30D IV ~56.77 vs HV ~45.63 (IV > HV) suggests options are pricing elevated movement into near-term events (earnings on 2026-02-16).
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
~
can enable a short-term bounce if selling pressure fades.
on 2026-02-16 after hours can reset expectations if results/royalty volumes surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Price action is weak today (-6.68%) and currently below S1 support, with bearish MACD momentum still accelerating.
No Intellectia proprietary buy signals today (no AI Stock Picker; no SwingMax), removing a key short-term timing tailwind.
No news catalysts in the last week to explain or counter the selloff; downside can persist without a fresh driver.
Pre-earnings uncertainty: with IV elevated, the market is pricing meaningful post-earnings movement; direction is not confirmed by trend.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $4.0M, up +146.61% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income $0.629M, down -153.81% YoY; EPS $0.01, down -200% YoY (profitability deteriorated sharply despite revenue growth).
Margins: Gross margin 83.6%, up +29.89% YoY (royalty/streaming model showing strong gross economics even as bottom-line weakened).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
2026-01-23: Canaccord reaffirmed Buy and raised price target to C$14 from C$12 (more bullish).
2026-01-26: Scotiabank kept Sector Perform but raised price target to $9 from $7.50 (more constructive, but still not an outright bullish rating).
Wall Street pro view (pros): improving commodity outlook and upward price target revisions.
Wall Street con view (cons): at least one major firm remains neutral (Sector Perform), implying upside is acknowledged but conviction is mixed.
Flows/holders: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no notable accumulation signals recently). Politician/congress activity: no recent data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast MTA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTA is 8.07 USD with a low forecast of 7.5 USD and a high forecast of 8.64 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTA is 8.07 USD with a low forecast of 7.5 USD and a high forecast of 8.64 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 7.080
Low
7.5
Averages
8.07
High
8.64
Current: 7.080
Low
7.5
Averages
8.07
High
8.64
Scotiabank
Eric Winmill
Sector Perform
maintain
$9
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
Scotiabank
Eric Winmill
Price Target
$9
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank analyst Eric Winmill raised the firm's price target on Metalla Royalty & Streaming to $9 from $7.50 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Gold & Precious Minerals stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm has increased both gold and silver forecasts, supported by economic and geopolitical uncertainty as well as strong central bank buying.
Canaccord
Buy
maintain
$12 -> $14
2026-01-23
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$12 -> $14
2026-01-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Metalla Royalty & Streaming to C$14 from C$12 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for MTA
