Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Technical timing risk: RSI overbought and price near resistance (416–423 zone) increases odds of a near-term fade.
- Event risk: Earnings next week with elevated IV; market is explicitly pricing a larger move.
- Options sentiment: Put-heavy open interest and volume suggests cautious positioning.
- Margin pressure: Gross margin down ~1.10% YoY in the latest provided quarter, which can weigh on valuation if it persists.
- No supportive near-term news flow in the past week to “push through” resistance.