Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Guidance/LOE overhang: multiple notes point to softer 2026 outlook driven by loss-of-exclusivity products and specific demand concerns (e.g., U.S. Gardasil, Lagevrio).
- Insider flow: insiders are net sellers; selling amount up ~278.9% last month → not supportive for an aggressive “buy now.”
- Congress trading (last 90 days): 4 sales, 0 buys (median ~$0.8M) → influential-flow signal is cautious.
- Technical timing risk: extremely overbought RSI increases probability of near-term consolidation/pullback even in an uptrend.