Should I Buy MPU? MPU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

0.600

1 Day change

-0.66%

52 Week Range

4.440

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: the stock is in a clear bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) with negative momentum (MACD histogram below 0).
Although RSI(6) ~15 signals deeply oversold and could trigger a short-term bounce, there is no Intellectia buy signal (no AI Stock Picker, no SwingMax) to justify chasing a rebound today.
With weak recent fundamentals (sharp YoY revenue decline, margin compression) and no near-term news catalysts, risk/reward favors avoiding/ selling rather than buying.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside pressure.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.022 (below zero) and only “negatively contracting” — downside momentum may be easing, but it has not flipped bullish.
Mean-reversion setup: RSI_6 at 15.214 is extremely oversold, which can produce sharp dead-cat bounces; however, oversold alone is not a buy signal in a strong downtrend.
Levels: Price ~0.60 is sitting right on/just above S1 (0.597). A clean break below risks a move toward S2 (0.512). Upside resistance is heavy near Pivot (0.734) then R1 (0.871).
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern projection suggests modest upside short-term (+1.35% next day; +3.13% next week) but slightly negative over the next month (-0.47%), aligning with a weak broader trend.

Positive Catalysts

- Extreme oversold RSI increases the probability of a short-term technical rebound.
- Price is testing a defined support area (around 0.597), which sometimes attracts tactical dip buyers.
- Trading trends: Hedge funds and insiders are both reported as Neutral (no notable recent negative flow).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Dominant bearish trend (MA stack bearish) and MACD still below zero: rallies may fail into resistance.
- No news in the recent week: no clear event-driven catalyst to reverse sentiment.
- High risk of support failure: if 0.597 breaks, next technical support is materially lower (0.512).
- Intellectia signals: No AI Stock Picker signal today; no recent SwingMax entry — lack of confirmation for an impatient “buy now” approach.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 6,111,500, down -40.93% YoY (meaningful contraction).
Profitability: Net income improved YoY to -10,843,900 (still a loss), and EPS improved YoY to -0.21 (still negative).
Margins: Gross margin 47.71%, down -18.44% YoY, indicating deterioration in operating quality despite EPS/net income improvement.
Takeaway: Financials show reduced losses but still negative earnings, alongside sharp revenue decline and margin compression — not supportive of a “buy immediately” stance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data provided.
Wall Street pro/con view cannot be assessed from the supplied dataset (no coverage signals included).
Influential/Politician activity: No recent congress trading data available (last 90 days).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MPU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPU is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold