Not a good buy right now: price is in a clear downtrend (bearish MA stack + worsening MACD), so the path of least resistance remains lower.
Oversold RSI (RSI_6 ≈ 10) can trigger a short bounce, but with no Intellectia buy signals and bearish options volume skew, the dip is not a high-confidence entry.
Near-term catalyst risk is elevated into earnings (2026-02-10 AH) while implied volatility is very high, which typically punishes poorly-timed long entries.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.188 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening.
Condition: RSI_6 ≈ 10.31 → extremely oversold; bounce risk is real, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Key levels: Price 7.975 is below S1 (8.157) and sitting closer to S2 (7.543). Immediate support zone: ~7.54; reclaiming 8.16 would be the first sign of stabilization.
Pattern-based forward view (similar candlesticks): mild 1-week upside bias (+2.42%) but slightly negative next-month expectation (-0.6%), aligning with “dead-cat bounce” risk rather than trend reversal.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment split: Open Interest P/C = 0.71 (positioning leans call-heavy / less defensive), but Volume P/C = 1.63 (today’s flow is put-heavy / more bearish near-term).
Activity: Today’s volume 541 vs 30D average at ~131% → elevated trading interest.
Volatility: 30D IV 99.16 vs historical vol 46.99; IV percentile 70.18 → options are expensive, consistent with pre-earnings uncertainty.
Interpretation: Market is paying up for protection/downswing exposure into the event window, which is not a “clean” bullish setup for an impatient buyer.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
could trigger a sharp rebound if results/guide surprise positively.
Event risk: Very high IV into earnings increases the chance of a sharp post-earnings drawdown if expectations aren’t met.
Profitability volatility: Latest quarter shows large YoY drop in net income/EPS, which can keep investor confidence fragile.
Options flow today is defensive (put-heavy volume), implying near-term caution from traders.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $70.02M, up +22.57% YoY (strong top-line growth trend).
Profitability: Net income $6.44M, down -265.71% YoY; EPS $0.08, down -260.00% YoY (earnings power deteriorated sharply YoY).
Margins: Gross margin 77.94%, up +10.52% YoY (positive efficiency/mix signal, but not translating to YoY earnings growth in this quarter).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street activity: One notable update—on 2025-12-04 Canaccord initiated coverage with a Buy and a $20 price target.
Trend in ratings/targets: Limited data (single initiation), so no broad upward/downward revision trend can be confirmed.
Wall Street pros: Secular connected TV tailwinds; thesis that MNTN is taking share by solving a key market need.
Wall Street cons (implied by current tape/financial volatility): The market is not pricing the story as “proven” yet—weak YoY earnings trend and heavy downside momentum are keeping sentiment cautious despite bullish long-term framing.
Wall Street analysts forecast MNTN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MNTN is 25.79 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 39 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MNTN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MNTN is 25.79 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 39 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 7.880
Low
18
Averages
25.79
High
39
Current: 7.880
Low
18
Averages
25.79
High
39
Canaccord
Matthew Weber
Buy
initiated
$20
AI Analysis
2025-12-04
Reason
Canaccord
Matthew Weber
Price Target
$20
AI Analysis
2025-12-04
initiated
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst Matthew Weber initiated coverage of MNTN with a Buy rating and $20 price target. The company is benefiting from the secular tailwinds in connected TV and is taking share by "solving a critical market need," the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm thinks this will support continued strong operating performance moving forward for MNTN.
Evercore ISI
Outperform -> NULL
downgrade
$39 -> $33
2025-11-05
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$39 -> $33
2025-11-05
downgrade
Outperform -> NULL
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on MNTN to $33 from $39 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Q3 results are "a solid affirmation of its growth trajectory with in-line revenues and a notable EBITDA beat," the analyst tells investors in a post-earnings note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for MNTN
