Activity: Today’s total option volume is extremely small (3 calls, 0 puts), so sentiment read is weak/less reliable.
Volatility: 30D implied vol ~173.6 vs historical vol ~82.8; IV percentile 89.2 = options are priced very rich (market expecting big moves / high uncertainty).
Positioning note: Open interest is call-heavy (1118 calls vs 165 puts), but low volume means there’s no strong “fresh money” confirmation today.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Hedge funds are buying aggressively (reported +279.39% increase in buying amount over the last quarter), which can provide support.
Technical momentum is improving (MACD positive/expanding), which could carry price toward ~1.98 if market cooperates.
No negative news flow in the last week (no fresh headline overhang).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
increases probability of a near-term pullback, especially near 1.98 resistance.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 45.26M, down -31.34% YoY (material top-line contraction).
Net income: 5.21M, down -69.47% YoY (profitability compressing sharply).
EPS: 0.04, down -66.67% YoY.
Gross margin: 24.32%, down -51.82% YoY (significant margin deterioration).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: On 2025-11-07, TPH&Co. upgraded MNTK to Hold from Sell.
Trend takeaway: Wall Street view has become less bearish, but it’s not bullish—“Hold” implies limited expected upside or unclear catalysts.
Cons (Street perspective): lack of buy ratings/strong positive revisions in the provided data aligns with weakening financial trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast MNTK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MNTK is 4 USD with a low forecast of 4 USD and a high forecast of 4 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MNTK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MNTK is 4 USD with a low forecast of 4 USD and a high forecast of 4 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.890
Low
4
Averages
4
High
4
Current: 1.890
Low
4
Averages
4
High
4
TPH&Co.
Sell
to
Hold
upgrade
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
Reason
TPH&Co.
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
upgrade
Sell
to
Hold
Reason
TPH&Co. upgraded Montauk Renewables to Hold from Sell.
Clear Street
Buy
downgrade
$4
2025-11-06
Reason
Clear Street
Price Target
$4
2025-11-06
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Clear Street lowered the firm's price target on Montauk Renewables to $4 from $4.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company reported September quarter in-line to the firm's forecasts. The firm trimmed its price target to reflect a lower valuation multiple warranted due to lower RINs pricing than it had expected due to regulation changes, as well as higher maintenance capex, less EBITDA growth than originally expected and larger cash burn.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for MNTK
