Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is in a sharp breakdown (-12.73% today, additional -3.94% pre-market) with bearish momentum still expanding.
Although MMS is extremely oversold (RSI_6 11.8) and near support, it has slipped slightly below the first support (S1 ~81.90), leaving room to the next support (76.60).
Earnings were mixed (EPS beat + raised outlook, but revenue missed and declined), and the tape is reacting negatively—this is not the type of setup to chase immediately without stabilization.
Trend/Momentum: Strong bearish impulse today; MACD histogram -1.663 below zero and negatively expanding (downtrend strengthening).
Oversold: RSI_6 at 11.787 indicates extreme oversold conditions (bounce risk is rising, but oversold can persist in breakdowns).
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest a transition zone, but today’s sharp drop indicates bears are currently in control.
Key levels:
Pivot: 90.472 (now well above price; likely resistance on any bounce)
Resistance: 99.048 (R1), 104.346 (R2)
Support: 81.896 (S1; current 81.71 is slightly below), then 76.598 (S2)
Pattern-based forward bias (provided): ~50% chance of small downside next day/week, with better odds of recovery over a month (+3.64%)—suggesting near-term instability despite potential later mean reversion.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Extremely call-skewed (OI put/call 0.07; volume put/call 0.01) → options flow is aggressively bullish/hedged with calls rather than puts.
Activity spike: Today’s option volume 5,106 vs 30-day average ("today vs avg" ~1302.55) indicates event-driven trading (earnings reaction).
Volatility pricing: 30D IV ~51.05 vs historical vol ~25.25 (IV far above realized), with IV percentile ~94 → options are expensive and the market is pricing unusually large moves.
Interpretation: Options traders are leaning bullish via calls, but the very high IV + heavy event flow suggests uncertainty remains elevated even after earnings.
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Q1 FY2026 EPS beat: reported EPS 1.85 vs ~1.82–1.84 expected (per news summary/calendar), showing better profitability than expected.
Raised earnings outlook (per news) provides a forward-positive narrative despite the revenue miss.
Net income reported at ~$93.94M in Q1 FY2026 (profitability holding up despite softer revenue).
Options market call-skew suggests speculative/positioning appetite for upside after the selloff.
Revenue: ~$1.35B, down ~4.1% YoY (negative top-line trend)
Net income: ~$93.94M (profitability remained positive)
EPS: beat expectations (1.85 reported) and company raised earnings outlook (margin/expense control strength)
Prior snapshot (2025/Q4):
Revenue: 1.318B, +0.19% YoY (flat growth)
Net Income: 75.29M, +3.84% YoY
EPS: 1.31, +11.02% YoY
Gross margin: 23.55, +11.19% YoY
Takeaway: Earnings power/margins improved, but revenue growth is the current weak spot and is what the market is punishing today.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No specific analyst rating changes or price target revisions were provided in the data.
Wall Street-style pros (based on the quarter/news): EPS resilience, margin/earnings outlook raised, profitability holding up.
Wall Street-style cons: revenue contraction/miss and growth visibility concerns; today’s sharp selloff implies investors are prioritizing top-line trajectory over near-term EPS beat.
Other flow checks:
Hedge funds: Neutral (no significant trends last quarter).
Insiders: Neutral (no significant trends last month).
Politicians/Congress: No recent congress trading data available (no confirmed political buying/selling signal).
Wall Street analysts forecast MMS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MMS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast MMS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MMS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
