Should I Buy MKC.V? MKC.V 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy McCormick & Company, Incorporated Voting CS (MKC.V) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

67.210

1 Day change

1.36%

52 Week Range

85.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is pressing into near-term resistance (~66.18) while the broader trend remains bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5).
No Intellectia edge today: AI Stock Picker = no signal; SwingMax = no recent signal, so there’s no strong “must-buy-now” trigger.
Options flow is modestly bullish (call-heavy volume), but analysts just reset expectations lower after a Q4 miss and softer FY26 guide—limiting immediate upside.
Better risk/reward would be either (1) a pullback toward ~63 (pivot) for entry, or (2) a clean breakout and hold above ~66.2–68.0; at 66.05 it’s in the middle of that decision zone.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish longer-term structure (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) suggests rallies can fail until the short MAs reclaim upward alignment.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.278 and expanding is bullish, implying a short-term rebound attempt is underway.
RSI (6) ~65.9: nearing overbought on the short lookback—upside may be limited without consolidation.
Levels: Pivot/support ~63.234 (key “buy-the-dip” area). Immediate resistance R1 ~66.183 (price is essentially at this ceiling). Next resistance R2 ~68.005.
Near-term setup: technically “stuck” at resistance—more attractive after a dip or after a confirmed breakout above ~66.2.

Options Data

Neutral

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Open interest put/call ~0.95 is close to neutral (positioning not strongly skewed).
Flow today: Put/call volume ~0.19 is call-dominant (bullish near-term trading sentiment).
Volatility: 30D IV ~25.71 vs HV ~38.37 (IV below realized), while IV percentile ~66 suggests IV is relatively elevated vs its own history—options aren’t “cheap,” but also not screaming panic.
Activity: Today’s volume ~1700 vs 30D average ~90% (not an unusual spike), so sentiment is supportive but not an emphatic “crowded” bet.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Short-term momentum improving (positive, expanding MACD) could push a test of ~66.2 and potentially ~68 if it breaks.
- Underlying business still showing modest growth in the latest quarter (revenue, net income, EPS up YoY).
- Options tape is call-heavy today, consistent with a near-term rebound bias.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technically still a bearish moving-average stack (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), which often caps rallies.
- Earnings/guidance reset: multiple firms cut price targets after Q4 miss and FY26 guidance below consensus; “unexpected cost headwinds,” ERP implementation acceleration, and tax headwinds were cited.
- Profitability pressure: gross margin down YoY in the latest quarter—supports the narrative of near-term margin/cost headwinds.
- No supportive news catalysts in the past week to shift sentiment quickly.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $1.850B, +2.91% YoY (steady, not high-growth).
Net income: $226.6M, +5.30% YoY.
EPS: $0.84, +5.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 38.99%, down ~2.94% YoY (key concern—supports analyst commentary about margin/cost pressure).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: broad wave of price-target cuts (notable resets to ~$67–$72 at Barclays/UBS/JPM/others), largely driven by Q4 miss, weaker FY26 outlook, and incremental headwinds (ERP/tax/costs).
Ratings skew: mix of Neutral/Equal Weight (Barclays, UBS) alongside continued Buys/Overweights/Outperforms (JPM Overweight, BofA Buy, Deutsche Buy, Bernstein Outperform).
Wall Street “pros” view: quality staples franchise and durability; some see the selloff as disproportionate to estimate cuts.
Wall Street “cons” view: near-term margin/cost/implementation headwinds and below-consensus FY26 guidance reduce conviction for immediate upside.

0 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MKC.V stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MKC.V is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Current: 66.310

Low

Averages

High