Should I Buy MG? MG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Mistras Group Inc (MG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

14.670

1 Day change

4.12%

52 Week Range

14.850

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: near-term momentum is weakening (MACD histogram below zero and expanding negatively) while price sits just below the pivot (14.257), increasing odds of a dip toward support (13.825).
Medium-term setup remains constructive (bullish moving-average stack SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the current tape doesn’t offer a strong “buy-now” trigger.
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call open-interest ratio), yet options are relatively expensive (IV well above historical), which reduces the edge of chasing upside immediately.
Financial momentum is strong (2025/Q3 revenue and earnings growth), supporting a positive longer-term thesis—just not an ideal immediate entry based on today’s technicals.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Medium-term bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader trend is still up.
Momentum: Bearish/softening near-term; MACD histogram -0.0645 (below 0) and negatively expanding, indicating downside momentum building.
RSI: 44.07 (neutral-to-weak), consistent with a mild pullback rather than a fresh breakout.
Key levels: Pivot 14.257 (price 14.17 is slightly below); resistance R1 14.688 then R2 14.955; support S1 13.825 then S2 13.558.
Pattern-based forward look (provided): modest upside bias but not strong (next day +1.08% with 50% chance; next week +0.94%; next month +1.31%).

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Bullish skew—calls dominate open interest (call OI 4550 vs put OI 754; OI put/call 0.17).
Activity: Today’s volume is call-only (33 calls, 0 puts); volume vs 30-day average is elevated (143.48%), but absolute volume is still small.
Volatility: IV_30d 46.11 vs historical volatility 24.59 (options priced rich); IV percentile 36.65 / IV rank 13.88 (not extreme vs its own history, but still high versus realized).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Strong latest reported quarter (2025/Q3): revenue +7.04% YoY; net income +104.78% YoY; EPS +105% YoY.
- Business mix improvement narrative (per coverage): diversification away from cyclical oil & gas into aerospace/defense, power, manufacturing, and civil infrastructure could support steadier growth and a better multiple.
- Options market skew is optimistic (heavy call positioning).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Near-term technical momentum is deteriorating (MACD below zero and worsening), raising the chance of a pullback toward 13.83/13.56 support.
- No news catalysts in the past week; lacking an event-driven trigger for an immediate upside move.
- Options are expensive versus realized volatility (IV materially above HV), implying the market already prices in larger moves.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 195.549M, +7.04% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income 13.108M, +104.78% YoY; EPS 0.41, +105.00% YoY (strong operating leverage vs prior year).
Gross margin: 28.65%, +0.17 YoY (stable-to-slightly improving margin profile).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent relevant coverage: Texas Capital initiated Mistras with a Buy rating and a $16 price target (11/20), citing mix shift into higher-quality end markets.
No other recent MG-specific rating changes were provided in the dataset.
Wall Street pro view: Improving end-market diversification + strong earnings growth supports upside.
Wall Street con view: Without a near-term catalyst and with current momentum softening, upside may be slower/less immediate than an impatient buyer would want.
Ownership/trading sentiment checks: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral; no recent Congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure transactions provided.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MG is 16 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 14.090

Low

Averages

High

Current: 14.090

Low

Averages

High

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

initiated

$54

AI Analysis

2025-12-08

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$54

AI Analysis

2025-12-08

initiated

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley assumed coverage of Magna with an Equal Weight rating and $54 price target. The firm adjusted ratings in the autos and shared mobility group as part of its 2026 outlook following a change in analysts. Morgan Stanley is "leaning more cautious" into next year, saying the electric vehicle "winter" will sustain through 2026. This is counterbalanced by a "moderately more positive" outlook on internal combustion engines and hybrids, the analyst tells investors.

JPMorgan

Farooq Hanif

Neutral

downgrade

2025-12-08

Reason

JPMorgan

Farooq Hanif

Price Target

2025-12-08

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Farooq Hanif lowered the firm's price target on M&G Plc to 305 GBp from 315 GBp and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

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MG Should I Buy

MG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Mistras Group Inc (MG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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