Should I Buy METC? METC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ramaco Resources Inc (METC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

18.230

1 Day change

5.38%

52 Week Range

57.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is breaking below a key support zone with bearish momentum (down ~10% today, weak MACD).
News flow is overwhelmingly negative (multiple class-action/lawsuit announcements), which tends to pressure shares short-term.
Insiders are selling aggressively (selling amount up ~113.68% last month), a poor timing signal for an impatient entry.
Options positioning is bullish-leaning (call-heavy), but it’s not enough to offset the technical breakdown + legal overhang.
Near-term path of least resistance looks lower toward the next support (~15.35) rather than a clean rebound.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: Bearish. MACD histogram is negative (-0.598) and expanding to the downside, signaling accelerating downside momentum.
RSI: RSI(6) at 33.52 is weak (near oversold), which can allow for bounces, but it’s not a confirmed reversal signal.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest indecision, but today’s sharp drop tilts the setup bearish.
Key levels: Current price 17.73 is below S1 (18.038), implying a support break; next notable support is S2 (15.352). Resistance levels above are far (pivot 22.385, R1 26.732).
Pattern-based forward view (similar candlesticks): modest negative bias next week (-0.88%), only slight improvement next month (+1.16%)—not attractive for an impatient buyer.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Bullish-leaning positioning. Put/Call ratios are low (OI PCR 0.4; Volume PCR 0.23), showing call dominance.
Activity: Total volume 4,314; volume is ~~70% of 30-day average (not a spike), but today’s open interest vs average is elevated (~~133%), suggesting positioning/roll activity.
Volatility: Very high (30D IV ~107.5 vs historical vol ~115.47). IV percentile ~67.84 indicates options are relatively expensive vs much of the past year.
Takeaway: Options traders lean bullish, but the tape is currently bearish; call-heavy positioning can also unwind if price keeps sliding.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

cites valuation after weakness and potential upside risk to coal assumptions.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

create a heavy sentiment overhang into March 31 lead-plaintiff deadline.
with strong downside momentum; next support not until ~15.
- Analyst bear case exists: Goldman Sachs Sell with $16 PT, emphasizing valuation and the need to derisk Brook Mine plus cost/capex concerns.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 120.996M, down -27.73% YoY (clear top-line contraction).
Profitability: Net income is still negative (-13.308M) though improved YoY; EPS remains negative (-0.22).
Margins: Gross margin collapsed to ~1.71% (down -80.74% YoY), indicating significant profitability pressure.
Overall: Financial trend reads as weakening operating performance despite YoY improvement in net loss—doesn’t support chasing the stock after a breakdown day.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent changes:
- 2026-01-20 Jefferies: upgraded to Buy from Hold; PT cut to $30 from $33 (bullish rating, but reduced target).
- 2025-12-05 Morgan Stanley: initiated Equal Weight; PT $17.50 (roughly in-line with current price ~17.73).
- 2025-11-19 Goldman Sachs: initiated Sell; PT $16 (calls current valuation ahead of fundamentals; wants Brook Mine derisking).
Wall Street pros: potential upside tied to coal pricing and the critical minerals/rare earth angle; valuation could look attractive after sharp weakness.
Wall Street cons: meaningful execution/derisking risk at Brook Mine, potential high costs/capex, and valuation skepticism; mixed coverage with a notable Sell rating.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast METC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for METC is 33.36 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 44 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

2 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 17.300

Low

Averages

33.36

High

Current: 17.300

Low

Averages

33.36

High

Jefferies

Christopher LaFemina

Hold -> Buy

upgrade

$33 -> $30

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

Reason

Jefferies

Christopher LaFemina

Price Target

$33 -> $30

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

upgrade

Hold -> Buy

Reason

Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina upgraded Ramaco Resources to Buy from Hold with a price target of $30, down from $33. The firm cites valuation following the recent share weakness for the upgrade. "Upside risk" to coal price assumptions and escalating geopolitical risks relating to critical minerals are positives for Ramaco, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Morgan Stanley

Carlos De Alba

Equal Weight

initiated

$17.50

2025-12-05

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Carlos De Alba

Price Target

$17.50

2025-12-05

initiated

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Carlos De Alba initiated coverage of Ramaco Resources with an Equal Weight rating and $17.50 price target. The company is developing Brook Mine, a thermal coal deposit that holds rare earth elements and critical minerals, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the project could transform Ramaco but says the investment story "needs some developing."

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METC Should I Buy

METC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Ramaco Resources Inc (METC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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