Not a good buy right now: trend is bearish (price below key pivot/averages, weakening momentum) and the short-term pattern stats skew negative over the next week/month.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today. (No AI Stock Picker buy; no SwingMax entry.)
Options imply elevated uncertainty (very high IV percentile) and positioning is mixed; combined with heavy insider selling, risk/reward is unattractive for an impatient buyer.
Positive news (international venue acquisition) is not currently strong enough to offset the technical breakdown and earnings risk into 2026-02-25.
Technical Analysis
Trend/momentum: Bearish structure with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 (downtrend across timeframes).
MACD: Histogram -0.795 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening.
RSI (6): 26.757 → oversold/washed-out condition, which can spark short bounces, but not a trend reversal signal by itself.
Key levels: Price 138.82 is below Pivot 144.076 and sitting just under S1 139.335; next support S2 136.406. Resistance levels overhead at 144.076 then 148.816.
Pattern-based odds: Similar candlestick analogs suggest ~-5.69% over the next week and ~-8.93% over the next month (despite a slightly positive next-day bias).
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment/positioning: Open-interest P/C 1.22 suggests heavier put positioning (more hedging/defensiveness).
Flow today: Volume P/C 0.28 indicates call-heavy trading today (could be dip-buying or short-dated speculation).
Volatility: 30D IV 46.38 vs HV 26.56 with IV percentile 92 → options are pricing elevated event risk/uncertainty.
Activity: Today’s option volume is ~313% of 30D average → unusually active tape, consistent with positioning around upcoming catalysts (notably earnings on 2026-02-25).
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
Event-driven: Acquisition of Italy’s ForumNet Group ($106M) expands international venue footprint and can drive longer-term growth.
Operational narrative: Planned investments in Unipol Forum to improve amenities/sustainability may support demand and pricing power.
Industry/analyst backdrop: Analysts cite strong secular live entertainment trends and multiple growth vectors (venues, international expansion, artist management).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
on 2026-02-25 after hours with EPS estimate shown at -1.01 → elevated risk of disappointment/volatility.
Profitability: Net income $171.6M, -56.80% YoY; EPS 0.73, -56.02% YoY (material earnings compression despite revenue growth).
Margins: Gross margin 22.31%, down ~1.54% YoY (pressure on profitability trend).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent coverage/actions: UBS initiated Buy with $164 PT (2025-11-25). Guggenheim reiterated Buy but trimmed PT to $172 from $175 (2025-11-18), citing one-time Ticketmaster headwinds.
Trend: Ratings remain broadly positive (Buy skew), but at least one PT was reduced, indicating incremental near-term caution.
Wall Street pros: Strong secular demand for live events, multiple growth vectors (venues + international), scale advantages.
Wall Street cons: Ticketmaster near-term headwinds and visible earnings/margin pressure (as reflected in YoY net income/EPS declines).
Wall Street analysts forecast LYV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYV is 175.86 USD with a low forecast of 164 USD and a high forecast of 190 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LYV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYV is 175.86 USD with a low forecast of 164 USD and a high forecast of 190 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 138.280
Low
164
Averages
175.86
High
190
Current: 138.280
Low
164
Averages
175.86
High
190
UBS
Buy
initiated
$164
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$164
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
initiated
Buy
Reason
UBS initiated coverage of Live Nation with a Buy rating and $164 price target. The firm believes the company is well positioned to benefit from the "strong secular trends" driving double-digit growth in the live entertainment industry. Live Nation has "multiple growth vectors" given its investments in new venues, expansion to international markets, and global artist management, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Guggenheim
Curry Baker
Buy
maintain
$175 -> $172
2025-11-18
Reason
Guggenheim
Curry Baker
Price Target
$175 -> $172
2025-11-18
maintain
Buy
Reason
Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker lowered the firm's price target on Live Nation to $172 from $175 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after updating the firm's model for Q4 and 2026. The largest changes are at Ticketmaster, which faces some one-time headwinds over the next few quarters, the analyst tells investors.
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