Best near-term setup is “watch for a bounce confirmation” rather than buying into a falling trend; without a proprietary entry signal, risk/reward is not attractive today.
Insider activity is a notable negative (accelerating selling), which conflicts with taking an aggressive buy immediately.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish near-term. MACD histogram is negative (-0.157) and expanding lower, implying downside momentum is strengthening.
RSI: RSI(6) at ~21.9 indicates an oversold condition (bounce potential), but oversold can persist when momentum is negative.
Key levels: Current price 15.98 is below S1 (16.182) and above S2 (15.581). This is a weak zone; a clean reclaim of 16.18–17.15 (pivot 17.154) would improve the long setup.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest a transition/indecision phase, but momentum indicators still lean down.
Market context: S&P 500 down ~1.33% today adds pressure to risk assets like LYFT.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/Call ratios are low (more call interest/volume than puts), suggesting relatively bullish positioning/less hedging.
Volatility: 30D IV ~76.98 with IV percentile ~75.7 (elevated). Options are pricing large moves, consistent with event risk.
Event timing: Earnings on 2026-02-10 (after hours) can cause sharp moves; elevated IV suggests the market expects that.
Volume: Today’s options volume is below 30D average (~71.9% of avg), so today’s flow isn’t a strong “rush to buy calls” confirmation.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
2
Positive Catalysts
increases probability of a short-term relief bounce if selling pressure fades.
Profitability: Net income down sharply YoY (reported -470.79% YoY) and EPS down to $0.11 (-466.67% YoY), indicating earnings volatility/weakness despite revenue growth.
Margin: Gross margin 37.18%, +9.51% YoY, a positive operational trend, but not yet translating into stable bottom-line improvement.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Mostly Neutral/Hold with price target trims into early 2026 (e.g., UBS to $21 from $22; Cantor to $21 from $25; Jefferies to $22 from $23).
Notable negative: Wedbush downgrade to Underperform with $16 PT, highlighting autonomous vehicle disruption risk and limited diversification.
Bull case on the Street: Some see stronger bookings/EBITDA/FCF trajectory (e.g., Guggenheim Buy; some higher targets previously raised).
Wall Street pros: U.S. rideshare market resilience, improving gross margin, potential 2026-2027 cash flow ramp.
Wall Street cons: AV disruption narrative, mixed/volatile earnings profile, and skepticism about strategy/diversification impact on growth and multiples.
Influential/politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds neutral; insiders selling is the dominant “smart money” datapoint here.
Wall Street analysts forecast LYFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYFT is 24.06 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 32 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
29 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LYFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYFT is 24.06 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 32 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
20 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 15.840
Low
16
Averages
24.06
High
32
Current: 15.840
Low
16
Averages
24.06
High
32
UBS
Stephen Ju
Neutral
downgrade
$22 -> $21
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
UBS
Stephen Ju
Price Target
$22 -> $21
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Stephen Ju lowered the firm's price target on Lyft to $21 from $22 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
downgrade
$25 -> $21
2026-01-08
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$25 -> $21
2026-01-08
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the firm's price target on Lyft to $21 from $25 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Despite lingering macro concerns, the outlook for Global Internet stocks into 2026 is increasingly positive as AI enters a "Synergy" phase that should drive accelerating revenue growth, improved value capture, and clearer long-term returns on capex, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With valuations still about 20% below medium-term ranges despite 2025 outperformance, the group is positioned to outperform in 2026 amid positive estimate revisions and improving sentiment, Cantor says.
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