Should I Buy LVS? LVS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

57.800

1 Day change

1.51%

52 Week Range

70.450

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Good buy right now for an impatient trader looking for a rebound: the post-earnings capitulation (big selloff on 1/29–1/30) has largely occurred, and current price ($56.93) is sitting just below the pivot ($57.47) with nearby defined support ($53.35).
Market sentiment is negative on Macau margins, but options positioning (low put/call OI) and analysts’ still-bullish targets skew the risk/reward toward a bounce rather than further immediate collapse.
Key “line in the sand”: holding above S1 ($53.35) keeps the rebound thesis intact; upside levels to watch are the pivot ($57.47) then R1 ($61.59).

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: After a sharp earnings-driven drop, price is stabilizing near the pivot (57.47); this is consistent with a basing/mean-reversion setup rather than a clean uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.173) but negatively contracting (downside momentum is fading).
RSI: RSI(6) ~49.36 (neutral), supporting the idea of consolidation rather than an overbought/oversold extreme.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest indecision/transition—often seen near turning points after a shock move.
Levels: Resistance R1 61.59 then R2 64.13; Support S1 53.35 then S2 50.81.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open interest put/call ratio at 0.54 is bullish-leaning (more call OI than puts), implying the options market is not heavily positioned for further downside.
Flow: Volume put/call ratio at 0.86 is mildly call-leaning, but not euphoric.
Activity: Today’s options volume is muted vs its 30-day average (~45.9%), suggesting sentiment is constructive but not aggressive.
Volatility: 30D IV ~35.2 with IV percentile ~42.6 (mid-range). IV is well below historical volatility (HV ~52.6), implying options aren’t pricing extreme fear right now.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Singapore strength: Commentary/coverage highlights Singapore’s beat as a meaningful offset to Macau weakness.
- Analyst support: Multiple firms reiterated Buy/Overweight/Outperform and several raised price targets post-Q4, which often stabilizes demand after a selloff.
- Earnings growth: Latest quarter showed strong YoY revenue/EPS growth, which can attract dip-buyers once near-term Macau margin worries are “priced in.”
- Pattern-based odds: Similar candlestick-pattern basket implies a positive bias over the next week (+4.38% expected move in the provided pattern summary).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Macau margin compression: The core driver of the sharp stock drop; concerns include elevated promotions and weaker profitability.
- China crackdown/high-roller pressure: Newsflow explicitly flags crackdown-related weakness in Macau as a catalyst for downside.
- Margin deterioration in reported financials: Gross margin fell materially YoY, reinforcing the market’s profitability concerns.
- Broader tape: S&P 500 down -1.46% in the session, which can cap near-term rebounds.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $3.649B, +26.0% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Net income: $395M, +21.91% YoY (profit grew, but market focused on mix/margins).
EPS: $0.58, +28.89% YoY (solid earnings growth).
Profitability: Gross margin 28.06%, -22.53% YoY (clear negative trend and central to the Macau-margin narrative).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Ratings trend: Post-Q4, the Street largely maintained bullish stances (Buy/Overweight/Outperform) while adjusting targets—overall supportive despite near-term Macau concerns.
Price target changes (recent):
- Raised: CBRE to $72 (Buy), Deutsche Bank to $77 (Buy), Mizuho to $65 (Outperform), JPMorgan to $71 (Overweight), Morgan Stanley to $67 (Equal Weight), BofA to $70 (Neutral), Jefferies to $78 (Buy).
- Lowered: Stifel to $72 (still Buy), Barclays to $64 (still Overweight) after the Q4 report.
Wall Street pros: Singapore upgrade/earnings power narrative; stabilized promo volumes and “upstream” player quality (per Mizuho).
Wall Street cons: Macau miss and fear of ongoing promotional intensity/margin compression; skepticism on timing to reach higher Macau EBITDA run-rate.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders flagged as Neutral with no significant recent trend.

14 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LVS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LVS is 69.12 USD with a low forecast of 56.89 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 56.940

Low

56.89

Averages

69.12

High

Current: 56.940

Low

56.89

Averages

69.12

High

CBRE

John DeCree

Buy

maintain

$62 -> $72

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

Reason

CBRE

John DeCree

Price Target

$62 -> $72

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

maintain

Buy

Reason

CBRE analyst John DeCree raised the firm's price target on Las Vegas Sands to $72 from $62 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

Stifel

Buy

downgrade

$75 -> $72

2026-01-29

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$75 -> $72

2026-01-29

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Stifel lowered the firm's price target on Las Vegas Sands to $72 from $75 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Investor fears about Macau margin compression and elevated promotional activity will "only be intensified post this release," says the analyst. While the firm ultimately believes Sands can get to a $700M/quarter EBITDA run rate in Macau, it doesn't believe that will be happening "anytime soon," the analyst added.

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LVS Should I Buy

LVS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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