Should I Buy LVO? LVO 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy LiveOne Inc (LVO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

5.080

1 Day change

21.53%

52 Week Range

12.600

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is weak into a key support zone (S1 ~4.14) while momentum signals are not strong enough to justify an impatient entry.
Event risk is high with earnings on 2026-02-11 (pre-market) and today’s news highlighting preliminary/unaudited results that already triggered selling pressure.
Options positioning is extremely call-skewed (very low put activity) but liquidity is tiny; the sentiment signal is unreliable and IV is very elevated (pricing uncertainty).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is above 0 (bullish bias) but positively contracting, implying upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI(6) ~45.5: neutral-to-soft; not oversold enough to suggest a high-conviction bounce entry.
Moving averages: converging MAs = consolidation/indecision, not a clear uptrend.
Levels: price 4.31 is below the pivot (4.455) and sitting between pivot and support S1 (4.142). A clean breakdown below ~~4.14 opens downside risk toward S2 (~~3.95). Upside resistance sits at ~4.77 (R1).
Short-term pattern stats (similar candlesticks): modest edge next day (+0.27% with 60% chance), but negative bias over the next week (-0.81%), suggesting choppy-to-down near term.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Put OI is extremely low (put/call OI ratio ~0.01), reflecting strong call skew.
Liquidity/signal quality: today’s total options volume is only 5 calls and 0 puts, so sentiment inference is weak (small prints can distort ratios).
Volatility: IV(30d) ~163.5% vs historical vol ~68.9% => options are pricing substantial uncertainty.
IV Rank ~14 and IV Percentile ~38: elevated absolute IV, but not at extreme percentile levels versus its own history.
Takeaway: options market is pricing big moves, but low volume means this is not a dependable “smart money” read.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Company projects fiscal 2026 YTD revenue of ~$57.9M and Q3 revenue of ~$19.9M (preliminary), which can serve as a near-term narrative anchor.
- Adjusted EBITDA expected around +$1.0M for Q3 (preliminary), signaling cost control and improved operating discipline.
- Earnings catalyst on 2026-02-11 (pre-market): any confirmation/improvement of preliminary figures could spark a sharp relief move given the small-cap nature.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Today’s selloff was driven by investor caution around unaudited/preliminary results and an incomplete quarter-end close process (credibility/transparency overhang).
- Latest reported quarter shows severe top-line pressure: 2026/Q2 revenue down ~42.44% YoY.
- Near-term technical risk: price is below pivot and close to S1 (~~4.14); a break can quickly push toward S2 (~~3.95).
- Broader tape is risk-off (S&P 500 -1.47% today), which often pressures smaller, high-volatility names more.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: $18.762M, -42.44% YoY (clear contraction; weak growth trend).
Net income: - $5.811M (still loss-making; headline metric direction is mixed/unclear due to negative-base effects, but profitability remains negative).
EPS: -0.52 (still negative; not indicative of durable profitability yet).
Gross margin: 87.68%, up materially YoY (margin structure looks strong, but revenue decline is the dominant issue).
Overall: margin profile improved, but the growth trend (revenue) is decisively negative, which limits “buy now” conviction.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided in the feed.
Wall Street pro view (inferred from available data):
- Pros: potential operating leverage if EBITDA stays positive; high gross margin profile.
- Cons: sharp YoY revenue decline; reliance on preliminary/unaudited disclosures adds perceived risk; upcoming earnings can swing the stock sharply.
Influential/political trading: no recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider trends shown as neutral with no significant recent activity.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LVO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LVO is 11.5 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 4.180

Low

Averages

11.5

High

Current: 4.180

Low

Averages

11.5

High

Alliance Global Partners

Buy

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-07-07

Reason

Alliance Global Partners

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-07-07

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Alliance Global Partners lowered the firm's price target on LiveOne to $2 from $2.25 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Conversion of Tesla ad-supported digital radio users to paid subscribers is a key to stronger fundamentals, the firm contended. Investment in new content is driving podcast growth, but margin expansion is the key to unlocking shareholder value, Alliance Global Partners told investors in a research note. The firm added that a higher valuation would require a stronger gross margin and more evidence of execution in driving paid subscribers.

LVO Should I Buy

LVO Should I Buy

Should You Buy LiveOne Inc (LVO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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