Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: momentum is bearish (MACD worsening) and earnings are imminent (2026-02-11 after hours), increasing near-term downside risk.
Price is sitting just above key support (S1 ~15.48). With weak short-term expectancy (-1.36% next week from pattern study), the odds favor chop-to-down rather than an immediate bounce.
Positive Nordstrom expansion news is constructive, but fundamentals (revenue decline, deeper losses) suggest the stock needs proof via the upcoming earnings report before a confident buy.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.624) and expanding lower, indicating bearish momentum is strengthening.
RSI: RSI(6) ~42.7 (neutral-to-soft), not oversold enough to suggest a high-conviction bounce entry.
Moving averages: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 is bullish in structure, but current momentum contradicts it—suggesting a pullback within a broader uptrend or a failing uptrend.
Key levels: Support S1 ~15.48 is very close to the current price (15.97). A clean break below raises risk toward S2 ~11.92. Upside hurdles are heavy: pivot ~21.23 then R1 ~26.99.
Sentiment read-through is limited because most option fields are missing/blank; the put-call ratios at 0.0 likely reflect incomplete data rather than true positioning.
Reported historical volatility is extremely high (854.6), implying the market is pricing large moves; this aligns with the upcoming earnings catalyst and elevates short-term directional risk.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
can become supportive again if price stabilizes above S1 and momentum turns.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Bearish momentum (MACD negative and worsening) increases the probability of a support break.
Earnings on 2026-02-11 after hours is a near-term binary catalyst; with weak recent fundamentals, disappointment risk is elevated.
Pattern-based forward view is weak: ~30% chance to +0.2% next day, -1.36% next week, only +0.41% next month—suggesting limited immediate upside.
No notable hedge fund/insider buying trends recently (both neutral), offering no confirmation bid.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 73.59M, down -8.60% YoY (top-line contraction).
Net income: -2.317M, down -66.32% YoY (losses deepening).
EPS: -0.84, down -65.99% YoY (worsening profitability per share).
Bright spot: Gross margin 42.61%, up +11.93% YoY (cost/price discipline improving), but not yet enough to offset revenue pressure and operating losses.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades cannot be confirmed from this dataset.
Wall Street-style pros (based on available info): expanding distribution via Nordstrom; improving gross margin.
Wall Street-style cons: declining revenue, widening losses, and an upcoming earnings catalyst that can reprice the stock quickly.
Political/influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available; no politician activity indicated.
Wall Street analysts forecast LVLU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LVLU is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast LVLU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LVLU is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 16.990
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 16.990
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Telsey Advisory Group
Dana Telsey
Hold
Maintains
$2 → $1
AI Analysis
2025-03-28
Reason
Telsey Advisory Group
Dana Telsey
Price Target
$2 → $1
AI Analysis
2025-03-28
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Telsey Advisory analyst Dana Telsey lowered the firm's price target on Lulu's Fashion Lounge to $1 from $2 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The company delivered an EBITDA beat for Q4, driven by better-than-expected gross margin performance and tighter expense control, the analyst tells investors. While the firm is encouraged by the company's FY25 outlook for its adjusted EBITDA, the challenged topline hinders a more robust turnaround, the firm adds.
