Should I Buy LTM? LTM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy LATAM Airlines Group SA (LTM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

64.840

1 Day change

0.73%

52 Week Range

70.420

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: near-term pattern stats skew bearish (model indicates elevated 1-week downside risk) and momentum is not accelerating.
Longer-term setup remains constructive (bullish moving-average stack, strong analyst upgrades/targets, strong Q3’25 growth), so this is more of a “buy-on-dip” than a “buy-now.”
If you must take action immediately, risk/reward looks better closer to support ($62.41 then $60.32) rather than at ~$64.26 below the $65.81 pivot.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is still up.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.12) but positively contracting → upside momentum is fading rather than strengthening.
RSI(6)=46.5 (neutral) → no oversold bounce signal; also not showing strong bullish pressure.
Levels: Price (~64.26) is below Pivot (65.81). Immediate support at S1=$62.41 then S2=$60.32; resistance at R1=$69.20 then R2=$71.30.
Pattern-based short-term outlook (from similar candlesticks): 70% chance of -0.43% next day and -7.68% next week → argues against chasing today.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open Interest Put-Call Ratio = 0.72 (more calls than puts outstanding) → mildly bullish positioning.
Flow today: Put-Call Volume Ratio = 0.05 (calls dominated: 42 calls vs 2 puts) → bullish/greedy tape, but volume is small in absolute terms (44 contracts).
Volatility: 30D IV 39.08 vs HV 32.79 → IV premium present, but IV Rank 6.6 / IV Percentile 30.4 suggests IV is relatively low vs its own history (options not “expensive” by rank).
Activity: Today’s volume is 15.66x the 30D average, but from a low baseline; don’t overread a single day’s small prints.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analysts are actively raising targets and reiterating bullish ratings (latest Barclays PT to $75 with Overweight), indicating improving Street conviction.
- Hedge funds: “Buying” trend with a very large increase in buying activity over the last quarter.
- Fundamentals: Q3’25 showed strong YoY growth in revenue and net income (supports the bull case).
- Options positioning and daily flow skew call-heavy (sentiment tailwind).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No fresh news catalysts in the last week → fewer immediate triggers to force upside follow-through.
- Momentum cooling: MACD is still positive but contracting; RSI neutral (no strong “buy now” technical trigger).
- Short-term pattern read points to meaningful 1-week downside risk (statistical bearish tilt).
- Broad market tape is risk-off today (S&P 500 -1.29%), which can pressure cyclical/travel names.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 3,798,947,000, up 17.06% YoY (solid top-line expansion).
Net income: 378,838,000, up 25.77% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue → operating leverage improving).
Gross margin: 31, up 20.16% YoY (margin improvement supports durability of earnings).
EPS listed as 0 with 0.00% YoY (likely reporting/rounding artifact in the snapshot), but the net income growth is clearly positive.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: multiple price-target raises with bullish stances maintained.
2026-02-05: Barclays raised PT to $75 from $60; kept Overweight (cites strong quarter, resilient macro).
2025-12-05: Goldman Sachs raised PT to $58.50 from $50.90; kept Buy (high potential dividend yield commentary for 2026).
2025-11-19: Barclays raised PT to $60 from $55; kept Overweight.
Wall Street pros vs cons (from provided data):
- Pros: improving fundamentals, repeated PT raises, dividend-yield narrative, hedge fund accumulation.
- Cons: near-term timing looks less favorable (cooling momentum + bearish short-term pattern stats), and no new catalyst this week.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LTM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LTM is 59.25 USD with a low forecast of 58.5 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 64.370

Low

58.5

Averages

59.25

High

Current: 64.370

Low

58.5

Averages

59.25

High

Barclays

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$60 -> $75

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$60 -> $75

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

Barclays raised the firm's price target on Latam Airlines to $75 from $60 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company reported a strong quarter amid a resilient macro backdrop, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Goldman Sachs

Buy

maintain

2025-12-05

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Price Target

2025-12-05

maintain

Buy

Reason

Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Latam Airlines to $58.50 from $50.90 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Based on the firm's recently published figures, Goldman Sachs believes there is room for up to a 14% dividend yield in 2026, the analyst tells investors.

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LTM Should I Buy

LTM Should I Buy

Should You Buy LATAM Airlines Group SA (LTM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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