Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price ($37.32) is sitting at/near resistance (R1 ≈ $37.32) with limited upside before the next resistance (R2 ≈ $37.89).
Wall Street is effectively neutral and the latest targets ($36–$37) are at/below the current price, implying unfavorable near-term risk/reward.
Earnings catalyst is imminent (Q4 2025 after-hours on 2026-02-23/24) and recent profitability trends are weak (Q3 net loss), which increases downside event-risk.
Options positioning is very call-heavy, but implied volatility is elevated, which often signals expensive premium and higher post-event move risk rather than a clean directional edge.
Trend/structure: Bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is up.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0293) but contracting, indicating downside momentum is fading, not flipping to strong upside yet.
RSI: RSI_6 ≈ 59.7 (neutral-to-slightly-bullish), not an oversold “easy buy” setup.
Key levels: Pivot ≈ $36.39; Support S1 ≈ $35.46; Resistance R1 ≈ $37.32 (current), then R2 ≈ $37.89.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlesticks): ~60% chance of +1.11% next day, but expectations deteriorate to -1.53% next week and -5.64% next month—weak timing for a fresh buy.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/call ratios (OI and volume) are extremely call-skewed, indicating bullish positioning/speculation.
Volatility: IV 30D ≈ 28.6 vs historical vol ≈ 18.4; IV percentile ≈ 82.9 (elevated), implying options are pricing in larger moves and are relatively expensive.
Activity: Today’s volume (38) is below 5D/10D averages (~40/53), so the bullish skew is more about positioning than a surge in fresh trading today.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
can act as a near-term catalyst if guidance/dividend coverage surprises to the upside.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Earnings risk (imminent): with elevated IV and an upcoming report, downside gap risk is higher if results/guidance disappoint.
Price is already at a key resistance area (R1), reducing immediate upside runway for an impatient entry.
Short-to-medium horizon statistical outlook is negative (next week/month expectations skew down).
No supportive signal from Intellectia modules today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax entry).
Profitability: Net income -$20.15M (down -169.09% YoY) and EPS -$0.44 (down -166.67% YoY) indicate a significant deterioration in bottom-line performance.
Margins: Gross margin 71.22%, down -24.47% YoY—pressure on profitability despite revenue growth.
Takeaway: growth is present on revenue, but earnings quality/profitability trend is currently a major negative heading into the next report.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent stance: Neutral/Equal Weight bias.
2026-01-05: Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated Neutral and cut PT to $36 (from $37).
2025-11-25: Wells Fargo maintained Equal Weight and raised PT to $37 (from $36).
Street pros: stable sector fundamentals, balance-sheet strength, and dividend appeal cited.
Street cons: targets cluster around $36–$37, which is not compelling upside from the current $37.32; overall view is “hold/market-perform,” not “buy now.”
Wall Street analysts forecast LTC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LTC is 37.2 USD with a low forecast of 36 USD and a high forecast of 39 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LTC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LTC is 37.2 USD with a low forecast of 36 USD and a high forecast of 39 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 37.730
Low
36
Averages
37.2
High
39
Current: 37.730
Low
36
Averages
37.2
High
39
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
downgrade
$37 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-01-05
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$37 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-01-05
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the firm's price target on LTC Properties to $36 from $37 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. U.S. equity REITs returned 2.9% in 2025, lagging the S&P 500, but 2026 may offer optimism with a potentially more supportive macro environment and an accelerating M&A theme, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stable supply and demand fundamentals, balance sheet strength, and a well-covered, growing 4% dividend yield make the sector attractive despite past underperformance, Cantor adds.
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
maintain
$36 -> $37
2025-11-25
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$36 -> $37
2025-11-25
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on LTC Properties to $37 from $36 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says that despite a few high-profile exceptions, most REITs delivered Q3 2025 earnings and outlooks reflecting healthy operating conditions despite macro and labor market concerns.
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