Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the stock is still in a clear downtrend (bearish MA stack + weakening MACD) and is trading below key pivot/resistance levels.
Earnings/news is a near-term catalyst, but options are pricing in elevated uncertainty (very high IV percentile), which often leads to whipsaw price action rather than a clean, predictable breakout.
Momentum deteriorating: MACD histogram at -0.162 and negatively expanding = downside momentum is still building.
Oversold condition developing: RSI_6 at ~24.6 (deeply oversold), which can fuel short bounces, but oversold alone is not a reliable “buy now” trigger in a downtrend.
Key levels:
Resistance/pivot: 10.773 (needs reclaim to improve near-term setup), then 11.64.
Open interest P/C = 0.3 (more calls outstanding than puts) leans bullish positioning.
Volume P/C = 2.03 (puts traded > calls) signals short-term caution/hedging into the event.
Volatility is expensive and elevated: 30D IV ~66% vs HV ~37.8%; IV percentile 87.6 = market expects big moves around the catalyst (harder to get a clean directional edge).
Option activity is elevated vs typical: today’s option volume is ~52x the 30D average (event-driven sentiment).
Price action/structure still bearish (downtrend intact); today’s tape is weak (regular market -2.77%, pre-market -1.88%) while the broader market is also risk-off.
Elevated IV increases the probability of a post-event volatility crush and/or sharp reversals.
Forward pattern stats provided indicate a negative bias over the next week.
Financial Performance
Latest provided quarter (2026/Q2):
Revenue: $318.96M, +15.07% YoY (growth still healthy).
Net income: -$32.7M (still loss-making, though improved ~10.27% YoY).
EPS: -0.24, improved ~26.32% YoY (less negative).
Gross margin: 30.57%, down ~4.20% YoY (margin compression is a key watch-out despite revenue growth).
Near-term headline (fiscal Q3 / QDEC 2025): revenue growth +11.5% YoY suggests the top line is holding up, but profitability/margins remain the key swing factor for re-rating.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: price targets have generally moved up (BofA to $17 Buy; TD to $15 Hold; MS to $15 Equal Weight; JPM to C$20 but stays Underweight) and National Bank commentary suggests improving confidence in execution.
Wall Street “pros” view:
Execution improving / “turning the corner” narrative gaining traction.
Growth strategy focus and better capital discipline are being rewarded with higher targets.
Wall Street “cons” view:
Not unanimous: at least one major firm remains Underweight despite higher target.
The stock still needs clearer margin/profitability inflection to earn a durable re-rate.
Influential/political trading check:
Hedge funds: Neutral trend.
Insiders: Neutral trend.
Congress trading (last 90 days): No recent data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast LSPD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LSPD is 15.29 USD with a low forecast of 12 USD and a high forecast of 21.6 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LSPD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LSPD is 15.29 USD with a low forecast of 12 USD and a high forecast of 21.6 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.310
Low
12
Averages
15.29
High
21.6
Current: 9.310
Low
12
Averages
15.29
High
21.6
TD Securities
Hold
downgrade
$15 -> $11
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
TD Securities
Price Target
$15 -> $11
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Securities lowered the firm's price target on Lightspeed to $11 from $15 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares pot the fiscal Q3 report. The company's sales momentum reduces execution risk on its mid-term targets, but the post-earnings selloff shows investors are still concerned over the soft near-term outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
UBS
Timothy Chiodo
Neutral
downgrade
$11
2026-02-06
New
Reason
UBS
Timothy Chiodo
Price Target
$11
2026-02-06
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Timothy Chiodo lowered the firm's price target on Lightspeed to $11 from $14.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for LSPD
