Should I Buy LOW? LOW 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

278.380

1 Day change

1.27%

52 Week Range

281.360

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Buy now (not a perfect dip, but a workable entry): Price is sitting just above the key pivot/support zone (~272), with near-term upside potential toward 279–284.
Positioning & Street support are constructive: Hedge funds are aggressively adding, and recent analyst actions skew bullish with higher price targets.
Into earnings (2026-02-25 pre-market), LOW can attract a modest “earnings run-up” bid; options activity also leans bullish on today’s flow.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.896) but contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is fading (potential stabilization).
RSI (6): 64.47 = neutral-to-warm (not oversold), implying upside is possible but the stock isn’t “cheap” on momentum.
Moving averages: Converging MAs typically indicate consolidation and a likely near-term breakout/breakdown decision point.
Key levels:
- Support: 272.22 (Pivot) then 265.08 (S1)
- Resistance: 279.36 (R1) then 283.77 (R2)
- Current price (274.27) is closer to support than resistance, which is favorable for a “buy now” decision.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): +1.07% next day, +1.74% next week, but -2.31% next month → supports a near-term buy, not a long sit without reassessment.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment split:
- Open interest P/C = 1.1: slightly defensive/hedged longer positioning.
- Volume P/C = 0.1: strong call-heavy flow today (bullish near-term sentiment).
Activity/attention: Today’s option volume is 131% of the 30-day average, suggesting elevated interest.
Volatility: IV 30d = 33.22 vs historical vol 24.82, and IV percentile 94 → options are pricing an above-normal move (earnings proximity likely contributes).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst momentum improved: Recent upgrade (Barclays to Overweight) and multiple raised price targets can support incremental buying.
- Hedge fund accumulation: Reported buying up ~205% QoQ, typically supportive for price.
- Macro/consumer read-through (from analysts): expectations of improving discretionary demand and potential boost from tax-related dynamics.
- Earnings catalyst ahead: QJAN 2026 earnings on 2026-02-25 (pre-market) can drive a pre-event bid if positioning remains constructive.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Profitability pressure: Latest quarter showed net income and EPS down YoY, which can cap multiple expansion.
- Technical ceiling nearby: First resistance sits at 279–284, limiting immediate upside without a clear breakout.
- News flow not clearly supportive for LOW: Recent headlines are broad (DEI reporting pullback, macro/consumer caution via other retailers) rather than company-specific positives.
- No supportive signal from Intellectia modules today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax confirmation).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q3
- Revenue: $20.813B (+3.19% YoY) → top-line growth is positive.
- Net Income: $1.612B (-4.67% YoY) → earnings quality mixed.
- EPS: 2.88 (-3.68% YoY) → bottom-line growth lagging sales.
- Gross Margin: 31.91% (+1.14% YoY) → margin improvement is a constructive offset to EPS decline.
Takeaway: Sales are growing and gross margin improved, but net income/EPS slipped, suggesting the story is “stabilizing/improving operations” rather than strong profit acceleration yet.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Ratings and targets have generally moved upward since Nov 2025, including a notable Barclays upgrade to Overweight.
Higher targets / constructive stance:
- JPMorgan: Overweight, PT $300 (raised)
- Truist: Buy, PT $295 (raised)
- Barclays: Overweight, PT $285 (upgrade)
- UBS: Buy, PT $316 (trimmed but still high)
More cautious voices:
- TD Cowen: Hold, PT $295 (raised)
- Evercore ISI: In Line, PT $250
Wall Street pros/cons (summary):
- Pros: improving demand expectations, potential housing/pent-up demand upside, pro business gains, and valuation seen as relatively attractive by some.
- Cons: consumer remains cautious, housing inflection timing uncertain, and profitability growth not yet clearly re-accelerating.

22 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LOW stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOW is 278.27 USD with a low forecast of 250 USD and a high forecast of 316 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

16 Buy

6 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 274.890

Low

250

Averages

278.27

High

316

Current: 274.890

Low

250

Averages

278.27

High

316

TD Cowen

Hold

maintain

$250 -> $295

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$250 -> $295

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

maintain

Hold

Reason

TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on Lowe's to $295 from $250 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the hardlines group. Planet Fitness is TD's top idea, followed by Home Depot and O'Reilly Automotive.

Truist

Buy

maintain

$269 -> $295

2026-01-16

Reason

Truist

Price Target

$269 -> $295

2026-01-16

maintain

Buy

Reason

Truist raised the firm's price target on Lowe's to $295 from $269 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a broader research note on Hardlines/Broadlines consumer names. The firm is citing its latest Truist Card reads and ICR holiday updates in adjusting its sales and earnings estimates, though it also believes that a significant increase in tax refunds will likely boost sales across the retail space in what are typically seasonally softer months, the analyst tells investors in a research note. For the company, sales trends have remained stable in December despite more difficult comparisons, the firm added.

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LOW Should I Buy

LOW Should I Buy

Should You Buy Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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