Should I Buy LNSR? LNSR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy LENSAR Inc (LNSR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.080

1 Day change

-1.63%

52 Week Range

17.310

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: momentum/near-term trend is still weak (bearish MACD, price below pivot), and the pattern-based model skews slightly negative for the next day/week.
Options positioning is very call-heavy (bullish sentiment), but that’s not yet translating into a clean technical breakout; risk is getting chopped near support.
Hedge funds are selling aggressively (+303.64% QoQ selling), which is a meaningful headwind.
If you must act immediately: this is more of a wait/hold than a buy; a cleaner entry would be after reclaiming ~12.51–12.83 (pivot/R1) with improving momentum.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Price: 12.4, sitting below pivot (12.514); market tone risk-off (S&P 500 -0.98%).
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.00973 and negatively expanding → bearish/weakening momentum.
RSI(6): 41.0 → neutral-to-soft (not oversold, not a strong bounce signal).
Moving averages: converging → indecision / no confirmed trend reversal.
Key levels:
- Support: 12.20 (S1) then 12.01 (S2)
- Resistance: 12.83 (R1) then 13.02 (R2)
Probabilistic pattern read: ~80% chance of -0.92% next day, -1.79% next week, but +2.47% next month → near-term chop/down bias, better odds over a longer horizon.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/skew: Extremely low put/call ratios (OI and volume) → strongly bullish/call-dominant sentiment.
Activity: Today’s option volume 158 with ~395% vs 30D average → notable spike in attention.
Volatility: 30D IV 77.63 vs historical vol 23.17 → options are pricing large moves vs realized; IV percentile 24.7 / IV rank 27.94 → IV is not at extremes relative to its own history, but still high in absolute terms.
Interpretation: Sentiment is bullish (calls dominate), but given weak MACD/price below pivot, this looks more like speculative positioning than confirmed trend strength.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings on 2026-02-26 (pre-market): a clear event catalyst that can reset the trend if results/guidance surprise.
- Improving bottom line trend YoY (loss narrowing materially) supports a potential multi-week recovery if margins stabilize.
- Options market is heavily call-leaning, suggesting traders are positioned for upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technicals are not confirming upside yet: bearish MACD expansion and price below pivot increase odds of near-term drift lower.
- Hedge funds are a notable overhang: selling increased 303.64% QoQ.
- No supportive newsflow in the past week (no fresh catalysts), so price action may be driven by broader market risk-off and technical levels.
- Gross margin deterioration (YoY) raises execution/quality-of-growth concerns going into the next earnings print.

Financial Performance

Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $14.316M, +5.74% YoY (moderate growth).
Net income: - $3.713M, improved +147.20% YoY (loss narrowing meaningfully).
EPS: -0.31, improved +138.46% YoY.
Gross margin: 40.56%, down 9.00% YoY → key weakness; profitability progress is improving, but margin compression is a caution flag.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided in the dataset, so the recent trend in Wall Street ratings/targets cannot be verified here.
Wall Street-style pros (based on available fundamentals): revenue growth and sharply improving losses.
Cons: margin pressure and small-cap sensitivity to risk-off tape; plus institutional (hedge fund) selling pressure indicated by the trading trends.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LNSR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LNSR is 15 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 12.280

Low

Averages

High

Current: 12.280

Low

Averages

High

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$16 → $15

AI Analysis

2025-03-24

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$16 → $15

AI Analysis

2025-03-24

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

Lake Street analyst Frank Takkinen downgraded Lensar (LNSR) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $15, down from $16, after Alcon (ALC) announced the acquisition of Lensar for $14.00 per share in cash, with an additional contingent value right of up to $2.75 per share tied to procedure-based milestones. The firm expects the acquisition to close as is, given the "reasonable valuation," but if a higher bid came in it would expect it would need to be $18-plus per share.

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Strong Buy

Maintains

$12 → $16

2025-02-28

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$12 → $16

2025-02-28

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

LNSR Should I Buy

LNSR Should I Buy

Should You Buy LENSAR Inc (LNSR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch