Should I Buy LIDR? LIDR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy AEye Inc (LIDR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.570

1 Day change

14.60%

52 Week Range

6.440

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: price is in a confirmed downtrend (bearish moving averages + deteriorating MACD).
Oversold RSI (≈19.6) can produce short bounces, but there is no proprietary buy signal (AI Stock Picker/SwingMax) to justify an impatient entry.
Fundamentals are weak (very low revenue base and YoY revenue decline), which reduces the odds that any bounce is durable.
Next notable catalyst is earnings (2026-02-19 after hours); until then, the setup is mostly technical-and-sentiment driven, and the trend is still down.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0353) and expanding lower, confirming weakening price action.
Overbought/oversold: RSI_6 = 19.611 (oversold). This increases the chance of a short-term bounce, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Key levels:
- Immediate supports: S2 = 1.402, then psychological risk below 1.40 if it breaks.
- Nearby level: S1 = 1.556 (now overhead resistance since price is below it).
- Major overhead/pivot area: Pivot = 1.807; bulls would need to reclaim and hold above this to shift the tone.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlesticks): 80% chance of -0.76% next day, +0.67% next week, +3.05% next month (mildly positive longer, but near-term pressure remains).

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Positive Catalysts

- Technical mean-reversion potential: RSI deeply oversold, which can spark a quick rebound if selling pressure fades.
- Earnings date on the calendar (2026-02-19 after hours) can act as a volatility catalyst if results/outlook surprise.
- Pattern study suggests a modestly positive 1-month drift (+3.05%), though not strong enough to override the downtrend today.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Strong bearish technical structure: MA stack bearish + MACD histogram negative and worsening.
- Current tape is weak: regular-market -3.92% and pre-market -5.23% (continuing sell pressure).
- No supportive flow signals: proprietary modules show no buy triggers; hedge funds/insiders reported as neutral (no supportive trend).
- Event risk: upcoming earnings could disappoint given recent revenue trajectory.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $50,000, down -51.92% YoY (sharp contraction off a very small base).
Net income: -$9.33M (still deeply negative), improved 7.17% YoY (less loss, but not close to profitability).
EPS: -0.30, down -70.30% YoY (worsening per-share outcome).
Gross margin: -106 (negative), down -45.43% YoY (margin profile remains highly unfavorable).
Overall: growth and unit economics look weak; the quarter does not support a “buy now” decision without a clear technical reversal signal.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target changes were provided in the data, so a recent Wall Street trend cannot be confirmed.
Pros (typical bull case in absence of coverage data): oversold technicals can rebound; earnings can reset expectations.
Cons: deteriorating revenue trend and ongoing large losses make it hard for analysts to justify upgrades without a clear operational inflection.
Politicians/congress/influential trading: No recent congress trading data available (no confirmed political/influential buy support).

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LIDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LIDR is 6 USD with a low forecast of 6 USD and a high forecast of 6 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 1.370

Low

Averages

High

Current: 1.370

Low

Averages

High

Alliance Global Partners

C. K. Poe Fratt

initiated

AI Analysis

2025-09-08

Reason