Not a good buy right now at ~$327.88: the chart is extended (RSI very high) and price is closer to resistance than support, with no proprietary “strong buy” signal to override that.
Risk/reward is currently less attractive for an impatient entry: upside to first resistance ($338) is limited versus downside back to the pivot/support zone ($315 and below).
Bullish longer-term backdrop (upbeat analyst actions + improving revenue/margins), but near-term positioning (overbought + heavy insider selling) argues to stay on the sidelines rather than chase.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), confirming an uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (3.194) but “positively contracting,” suggesting upside momentum is slowing.
RSI: RSI_6 at 79.84 indicates an overbought/extended condition (prone to pullbacks), even though the feed labels it “neutral.”
Levels: Pivot 315.08 (key near-term support). Resistance R1 ~338.02 then R2 ~352.19. Current price (327.88) is closer to R1 than to the pivot.
Probabilistic short-term bias from pattern match: mildly negative drift (next day -2.48% odds 50%; next month -3.96%), consistent with “extended uptrend cooling off.”
Positioning/sentiment split: Open interest leans defensive (OI put/call 1.25), but today’s flow is call-heavy (volume put/call 0.04; 24 calls vs 1 put).
Volatility: IV 30D ~36.21 vs HV ~37.82 (similar), but IV percentile ~80.48 suggests options are relatively expensive versus the past year’s range.
Activity: Today’s option volume is elevated vs 30D average (35.71%), and open interest is high vs average (221.45%), implying heightened positioning around the post-earnings/forward outlook period.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Analysts turned more constructive after Q4: multiple price target raises and an upgrade (Benchmark to Buy), citing stronger orders, positive book-to-bill, and improving demand visibility.
Industrial/technology narrative: “electrification” and higher-power density applications cited as multi-year content and growth runway.
Technical trend remains upward (bullish MA stack), which can continue to support dips if broader market stabilizes.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
plus slowing MACD momentum increases pullback risk near resistance.
Profitability quality is mixed: Net income and EPS are still negative (Net Income -$242.1M; EPS -9.72), though both improved sharply YoY per the snapshot (likely impacted by non-recurring items).
Gross margin improved to 35.39 (+15.58% YoY), a clear positive trend and supports the bull case if earnings normalize.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent direction is clearly positive: multiple Outperform reiterations and price target increases (e.g., Baird to $360, Oppenheimer to $380; earlier Oppenheimer raise to $360), plus Benchmark upgrade to Buy with $360 PT.
Wall Street pros: improving orders/book-to-bill, easing inventory/visibility concerns, and a multi-year electrification-driven growth runway.
Wall Street cons (implied): execution/visibility had been a concern previously; current price is already reflecting improved outlook, leaving less room for error near-term.
Wall Street analysts forecast LFUS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LFUS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast LFUS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LFUS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 331.880
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 331.880
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Baird
Luke Junk
Outperform
maintain
$325 -> $360
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
Reason
Baird
Luke Junk
Price Target
$325 -> $360
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Luke Junk raised the firm's price target on Littelfuse to $360 from $325 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q4 results which suggested its strong industrial technology franchise is coming full circle.
Oppenheimer
Outperform
maintain
$360 -> $380
2026-01-29
Reason
Oppenheimer
Price Target
$360 -> $380
2026-01-29
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer raised the firm's price target on Littelfuse to $380 from $360 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes orders rose over 20% year-over-year, with positive B:B, and coupled with Q4 sales/EPS beat above the guidance range.
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