Should I Buy LEU? LEU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Centrus Energy Corp (LEU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

263.470

1 Day change

8.83%

52 Week Range

464.250

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Buy now (tactical entry): Price is sitting on/just below the first major support zone (~245) with a low RSI and heavy options activity skewed to calls, which favors a near-term rebound despite a weak tape.
Macro/policy tailwinds are strong (DOE HALEU award, “Project Vault” uranium reserve theme), which supports continued momentum interest in LEU.
Key level to watch: If LEU cannot hold the 245 area, the next notable support is around 219, implying the trade becomes much less attractive if it slips meaningfully below current levels.
Event catalyst ahead: Earnings are imminent (Feb 12 after-hours), which can keep attention/volatility elevated and potentially reward a quick entry if results/guide align with the new policy backdrop.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend / momentum: Bearish short-term momentum.
MACD: Histogram -6.71 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is still in control.
RSI (6): 32.39 → nearing oversold/washed-out conditions, consistent with a bounce setup near support.
Moving averages: Converging → suggests consolidation after a sharp move; often precedes a larger directional move.
Support/Resistance:
- S1 ~245.24 (current price ~244.5 is right at this level)
- S2 ~219.46 (next downside cushion)
- Pivot ~286.95 (first major area to reclaim to confirm trend improvement)
- R1 ~328.66 (upside target if momentum reverses strongly)

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put-call ratios (0.71 OI, 0.70 volume) indicate a call-leaning (bullish) bias.
Activity: Options volume is ~192% of the 30-day average → unusually active tape, consistent with catalysts (policy + upcoming earnings).
Volatility: IV 30d ~109.6% and IV percentile ~90.4 → market is pricing very large moves; sentiment is active but options are expensive.
Interpretation: Options flow supports a near-term upside/bounce thesis, but the elevated IV signals traders expect big swings around catalysts.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Policy catalyst: “Project Vault” announcement (strategic uranium reserve) boosted sector sentiment and directly lifted LEU recently.
- Funding catalyst: DOE award (~$900M) to expand HALEU capability improves long-range capacity build-out visibility and de-risks funding timelines.
- Structural tailwind: Reduced reliance on Russian enrichment post-2027 supports demand for domestic enrichment supply chains.
- Upcoming catalyst: Q4/FY2025 earnings (Feb 12 after-hours; call Feb 11 noted in releases) keeps attention on the name and can trigger a re-rate if numbers/guide are strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical pressure remains: MACD is still deteriorating, so the stock can continue bleeding lower before stabilizing.
- High expectations / high volatility: Extremely elevated IV implies the market is braced for big moves; disappointment around earnings can trigger sharp downside.
- Profitability/margins trend recently weak (see Q3 2025 financial snapshot), which can conflict with the bullish policy narrative if it persists.
- Analyst dispersion risk: Some targets/ratings remain Neutral with targets near or even well below current price, which can cap sentiment after big runs.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $74.9M, +29.81% YoY → strong top-line growth.
Net income: $3.9M, down sharply YoY (-178%) → profitability deteriorated versus prior year.
EPS: $0.19, down materially YoY (-163.33%).
Gross margin: -7.21% (down significantly YoY) → indicates margin compression/negative profitability at the gross level in the snapshot.
Takeaway: Growth is strong, but the near-term quality of earnings/margins has been inconsistent—this makes the upcoming earnings report a key inflection point.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Price targets have generally been raised following DOE funding and domestic centrifuge/manufacturing progress.
Bullish voices: Northland (Outperform, PT $325), Evercore (Outperform, PT $390), Needham (Buy, PT $357) highlight first-mover advantage and multi-year domestic fuel-cycle rebuild.
More cautious / mixed: UBS (Neutral, PT $245) is roughly in-line with current price; BofA remains Neutral even after raising PT to $340; Roth Neutral with a much lower PT ($125) stands out as notably cautious versus current price.
Wall Street pros/cons:
- Pros: Government-backed funding, strategic national-security tailwind, long-duration demand story (HALEU/domestic enrichment).
- Cons: Near-term margin/profit volatility, very catalyst-driven trading, and meaningful disagreement across analysts on fair value.

14 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LEU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LEU is 297.1 USD with a low forecast of 117 USD and a high forecast of 390 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 242.090

Low

117

Averages

297.1

High

390

Current: 242.090

Low

117

Averages

297.1

High

390

JPMorgan

Bill Peterson

Neutral

downgrade

$245 -> $242

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

Reason

JPMorgan

Bill Peterson

Price Target

$245 -> $242

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson lowered the firm's price target on Centrus Energy to $242 from $245 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Roth Capital

Neutral

maintain

$117 -> $125

2026-01-08

Reason

Roth Capital

Price Target

$117 -> $125

2026-01-08

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Centrus Energy to $125 from $117 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The $900M award from the DOE to expand its HALEU production capabilities allows Centrus to be well-positioned to move forward with capacity expansions, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for LEU

Unlock Now

LEU Should I Buy

LEU Should I Buy

Should You Buy Centrus Energy Corp (LEU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch